Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi City prediction 10 October 2026

Our Ventforet Kofu vs Tochigi City prediction looks ahead to this J2 League fixture on Oct 10 at 08:00. Based on the available form data and head-to-head records, bookmakers see this as a tight contest with neither side holding a clear favorite status, and our win probability analysis gives Tochigi City a slight edge.

Team Form

Ventforet Kofu are struggling for consistency. Their last five results show a clear pattern of defeats: L, L, L, L, W. The single win came away at Montedio Yamagata (2-1) on Sep 5. Since then, they have suffered four straight league losses, including a 1-2 home defeat to Kataller Toyama on Oct 3, a 1-5 thrashing at Omiya Ardija, and two 0-1 home losses to Tokushima Vortis and Jubilo Iwata.

Tochigi City are also in poor form, with their last five matches reading L, L, L, L, D. They are winless in five, drawing 0-0 at Kataller Toyama on Sep 12. Recent J2 League defeats include a 1-2 home loss to Imabari on Oct 3, a 0-3 loss at Tokushima Vortis, and a 1-3 home defeat to Vegalta Sendai. They also lost 0-2 at home to Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the League Cup.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Ventforet Kofu and Tochigi City. The record stands at 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall J2 League standings provided. The table is led by Vegalta Sendai with 20 points, followed by Albirex Niigata (19 points) and Kataller Toyama (17 points). Tochigi City do feature in the away standings, sitting 6th with 7 points from 5 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Ventforet Kofu are absent from both the home and away top-eight listings, indicating a lower league position.

Win Probability: Ventforet Kofu or Tochigi City?

We calculate the win probabilities by normalizing the inverse of the average bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form and league positions. The average odds across six bookmakers are approximately 2.91 for a Ventforet Kofu win, 2.52 for a draw, and 2.49 for a Tochigi City win. After removing the bookmaker margin and factoring in both teams' poor form (both have one win or less in five) and Tochigi City's slightly better away record, the probabilities are:

Ventforet Kofu has a 32% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Tochigi City has a 30% chance. Tochigi City hold a marginal edge over Ventforet Kofu for the outright win, but the draw is the single most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer some variation on the 1X2 market. Odds range from 2.75 to 3.10 for a Ventforet Kofu win, 2.30 to 3.70 for the draw, and 2.32 to 2.70 for a Tochigi City win. Based on the stats, the safest prediction is a draw, though Tochigi City are viewed as narrowly more likely to win than the hosts.