VfB Stuttgart - Greuther Furth prediction 1 October 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Greuther Furth prediction: VfB Stuttgart are the clear favorite for the Friendly Clubs match on Oct 1 at 16:30. Based on the odds and recent form, VfB Stuttgart has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Greuther Furth has a 14% chance.

Team Form

VfB Stuttgart enter the match with three wins and two defeats from their last five results (W, L, L, W, W). Their recent matches include a 3-0 home win over Heidenheim on Sep 25, a 0-1 home defeat against Borussia Dortmund on Sep 19, a 1-2 away loss at TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on Sep 12, a 3-1 home win over Viking on Sep 9, and a 4-1 home win over FC Koln on Sep 4. The home side scored at least three goals in three of those five matches, showing a strong attacking threat.

Greuther Furth's last five results are D, D, L, W, L. They drew 1-1 at home against Magdeburg on Sep 18, drew 1-1 away at VfL Bochum on Sep 12, lost 0-1 at home to Heidenheim on Sep 6, won 4-3 away at Energie Cottbus on Aug 29, and lost 1-2 at home to VfL Bochum in the DFB Pokal on Aug 23. Greuther Furth have only one win in that run, with two draws and two defeats.

VfB Stuttgart's home form is particularly relevant for this VfB Stuttgart Greuther Furth Oct 1 fixture. In the listed recent home matches, VfB Stuttgart won three of four, with the only home loss against Borussia Dortmund.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record shows VfB Stuttgart with 3 wins, Greuther Furth with 2 wins, and 2 draws. The two most recent listed meetings both finished 0-0: Greuther Furth vs VfB Stuttgart on Jan 8, 2022 in the Bundesliga, and VfB Stuttgart vs Greuther Furth on Aug 14, 2021 in Bundesliga 2. This gives VfB Stuttgart a slight historical edge.

Win Probability: VfB Stuttgart or Greuther Furth?

VfB Stuttgart has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Greuther Furth has a 14% chance. The calculation starts from the inverse of the 1X2 odds — home 1.33, draw 2.75, away 5.50 — and then adjusts for VfB Stuttgart's superior recent form and home advantage. VfB Stuttgart have won three of their last five, while Greuther Furth have won once. VfB Stuttgart also hold a 3-2 edge in head-to-head wins.

Greuther Furth are not without chances, especially after two draws in their last two league matches, but their form is mixed. The most probable match outcome is a home win, with the draw as the second most likely result.

VfB Stuttgart vs Greuther Furth Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers see VfB Stuttgart as the favorite: the home win is priced at 1.33, the draw at 2.75, and the Greuther Furth away win at 5.50. For betting tips, the home win is a short price, while the draw and away win offer larger odds. Based on the stats, the final prediction is a VfB Stuttgart win, but the draw should not be completely ruled out. The odds and team form both point to a home win as the best match outcome.