VfB Stuttgart - Heidenheim prediction 25 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Heidenheim prediction for the Friendly Clubs match on Sep 25, 2026, at 15:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, VfB Stuttgart has a 45% chance of winning, while Heidenheim holds a 30% chance, with a 25% probability of a draw.

Team Form

VfB Stuttgart

Stuttgart's last five matches have produced mixed results: L, L, W, W, L. They suffered defeats against Borussia Dortmund (0-1), TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (1-2), and Bayern Munich (1-5), but secured wins over Viking (3-1) in the UEFA Champions League and FC Koln (4-1) in the Bundesliga. This inconsistency, especially against strong Bundesliga sides, raises questions about their defensive solidity.

Heidenheim

Heidenheim comes into this friendly in better form, with a record of D, W, W, W, L in their last five. They drew 2-2 with Arminia Bielefeld, then beat Holstein Kiel (1-0), Greuther Furth (1-0), and Dynamo Dresden (5-3), before a surprising DFB Pokal loss to Jeddeloh (2-5). Their Bundesliga 2 performances have been strong, showing resilience and attacking threat.

Head-to-Head Record

In 11 previous meetings, VfB Stuttgart leads with 5 wins to Heidenheim's 3, with 3 draws. The most recent five encounters have been tightly contested: a 3-3 draw in February 2026, a 1-0 Stuttgart win in October 2025, a 0-1 Heidenheim win in April 2025, a 1-3 Stuttgart win in December 2024, and another 3-3 draw in March 2024. The head-to-head suggests neither side dominates consistently.

League Table Positions

While exact league positions are not provided, the teams compete at different levels. VfB Stuttgart plays in the Bundesliga, Germany's top division, while Heidenheim features in Bundesliga 2. This gap in competition quality typically favors Stuttgart, though friendly matches can level the playing field.

Win Probability: VfB Stuttgart or Heidenheim?

We assign VfB Stuttgart a 45% win probability, Heidenheim 30%, and the draw 25%. This calculation considers Stuttgart's home advantage, their historical edge in head-to-head (5 wins vs 3), and their higher league status. However, Heidenheim's superior recent form (three wins in five) and Stuttgart's defensive struggles (conceding 9 goals in their last three losses) increase the likelihood of an away win or draw. The friendly nature of the match also adds unpredictability. Overall, Stuttgart is the more probable winner, but the margin is slim.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this friendly are currently unavailable. Bookmakers may release markets closer to the match. Based on the statistical analysis, the most likely outcome is a narrow Stuttgart victory, but a draw or even a Heidenheim upset cannot be ruled out. Our prediction: VfB Stuttgart to win, with a 45% confidence level.