Harju JK Laagri Women - Viimsi MRJK Women prediction 17 October 2026

Viimsi MRJK Women vs Harju JK Laagri Women prediction for the Meistriliiga Women match on Aug 20, 2026, at 14:00. Based on our analysis, Viimsi MRJK Women are the clear favorites with a 68% win probability, while Harju JK Laagri Women have just a 12% chance of an upset. The draw stands at 20%.

Team Form

Viimsi MRJK Women come into this match with strong recent form, having won three of their last five matches (W, L, D, W, W). Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away victory against Saku Sporting Women on Aug 15. Before that, they suffered a 1-3 home loss to Paide Linnanaiskond Women on Aug 09, followed by a goalless draw at Flora Tallinn Women on Aug 01. They also secured impressive wins over Elva Women (5-3) and Saku Sporting Women (4-1) in July. Overall, they have scored 12 goals in their last five games, showing attacking strength.

Harju JK Laagri Women have been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five (W, L, L, L, W). They beat Elva Women 3-2 at home on Aug 12, but lost three consecutive away matches: 2-4 at Saku Sporting Women on Aug 08, 0-5 at Paide Linnanaiskond Women on Aug 01, and 1-2 at Saku Sporting Women on Jul 23. Their other win was a 6-2 home victory over Elva Women on Jul 18. Defensive issues are evident, conceding 15 goals in these five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have met twice this season in the Meistriliiga Women, with Viimsi MRJK Women unbeaten. The first encounter on Apr 25, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw at Harju JK Laagri Women. The second, on May 16, 2026, saw Viimsi MRJK Women secure a dominant 5-2 away win. So the head-to-head record stands at 1 win for Viimsi and 1 draw, with Harju yet to win. Notably, both matches were played at Harju's ground, making Viimsi's away results even more impressive. Now playing at home, Viimsi will look to extend that unbeaten run.

Win Probability: Viimsi MRJK Women or Harju JK Laagri Women?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: Viimsi MRJK Women have a 68% chance of winning, a draw has a 20% probability, and Harju JK Laagri Women have a 12% chance. The base probabilities were derived from the bookmaker odds (home 1.22, draw 3.60, away 7.00), which implied a 66% home win, 22% draw, and 12% away win after removing the margin. We then adjusted slightly in favor of Viimsi due to their superior recent form (3 wins in last 5 vs 2 for Harju), their unbeaten head-to-head record this season, and the home advantage. Harju's poor away form, with three consecutive losses on the road, further reduces their chances. Therefore, Viimsi MRJK Women are the clear favorites to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers heavily favor Viimsi MRJK Women. The best available odds for a home win are around 1.22, while a draw is priced at 3.60, and an away win for Harju JK Laagri Women at 7.00. These odds reflect the gulf in form and head-to-head results. Based on the stats, our prediction is a home win for Viimsi MRJK Women. However, with a 20% draw probability, a stalemate cannot be ruled out entirely. For betting tips, the home win offers little value at such short odds, so alternative markets like over 2.5 goals might be considered given both teams' recent scoring records.