Viking - Fredrikstad prediction 17 October 2026
Viking
FredrikstadViking
TromsoAston VillaVikingVikingFredrikstadVikingBayern MunichBrannVikingMadlaVikingVikingLillestromVikingKristiansundVfB StuttgartVikingSandefjordVikingBroddVikingVikingAalesundVikingDinamo ZagrebDinamo ZagrebVikingRosenborgVikingMoldeFredrikstadVikingFredrikstadFredrikstadTromsoSandefjordFredrikstadValerengaFredrikstadStjordals BlinkFredrikstadFredrikstadSarpsborg 08FredrikstadBodo/GlimtLillestromFredrikstadEidsvold IFFredrikstadFredrikstadKristiansundIK StartFredrikstadFredrikstadSandefjordRosenborgFredrikstadBodo/GlimtFredrikstad- 1A. รstbรธG
- 22E. BotheimF
- 20P. ChristiansenF
- 25H. FalchenerD
- 5H. HeggheimD
- 26S. Kvia-EgeskogM
- 24Vetle AuklendD
- 29T. MoiM
- 23N. FuglestadF
- 6G. StensnessD
- 8J. BellM
- 11R. Postema
- 2H. Haugen
- 30ฤฝ. Belko
- 19A. Cosic
- 10Z. Tripiฤ
- 17E. Bassey
- 33J. Hansen
- 27J. Daland
- 16H. Bjรธrdal
- 18B. FiabemaF
- 38I. AmundsenD
- 4F. HolmรฉD
- 21J. JezierskiM
- 13S. SรธrlรธkkM
- 77M. BรธrsheimG
- 11L. WestF
- 6S. Leach HolmM
- 29G. WessehF
- 28S. OwusuD
- 16D. EidM
- 24L. Owusu
- 30J. Torkildsen
- 7B. Thoresen
- 23H. Skogvold
- 21F. Ghebreyohannes
- 5S. Rafn
- 9S. Laghzaoui
- 10J. Hummelvoll-Nuรฑez
- 12U. Fredriksen
VikingFredrikstadFredrikstadVikingFredrikstadVikingVikingFredrikstadVikingFredrikstadVikingFredrikstadFredrikstadViking| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 62:23 | +39 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 58:21 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 |  Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 57:36 | +21 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 46:31 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 |  Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 43:34 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 35:33 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Sarpsborg 08 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 |  KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 |  Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 42:40 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |  Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 33:51 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 |  Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 40:53 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 20 |
| 16 |  IK Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26:54 | -28 | 19 |
Viking vs Fredrikstad Prediction (Oct 17)
The Viking vs Fredrikstad prediction for the Eliteserien match on Oct 17, 2026, points to a confident home win. Based on the stats, league position and odds, Viking has a 65% chance of winning, Fredrikstad just 11%, and the draw sits at 24%.
Team Form
Viking come into this match with four wins from their last five outings, scoring freely. Their most recent results show a 2-0 away win at Brann, a 3-0 cup win at Madla, a 3-0 home drubbing of Lillestrom, an 8-1 demolition of Kristiansund, and only a narrow 3-1 Champions League defeat at VfB Stuttgart. At home they have been unstoppable.
Fredrikstadโs form is far less convincing. Their last five matches have produced only one win (a 1-0 cup victory at Stjordals Blink) alongside draws against Sandefjord (0-0), Valerenga (1-1) and Sarpsborg 08 (1-1), plus a 2-1 home loss to Bodo/Glimt. The away side struggles to turn draws into wins.
Head-to-Head Record
Recent meetings heavily favour Viking. In the last six head-to-head matches, Viking have won five and drawn one. Fredrikstad have failed to register a single victory. The most recent clash, on Apr 25, 2026, ended 2-1 to Viking. Previous Eliteserien encounters saw Viking win 1-0 away and 3-0 at home. The only draw was a 1-1 friendly in 2024.
League Table Positions
Viking sit top of the Eliteserien with 53 points from 22 matches (17 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats). Their home record is perfect: 10 wins from 10, scoring 38 goals and conceding just 10. Fredrikstad are 8th with 28 points from 21 games (8 wins, 4 draws, 9 defeats). Their away form is patchy โ only 3 wins in 11 road trips, with 12 goals scored and 21 conceded.
Win Probability: Viking or Fredrikstad?
Using the bookmaker odds (1.25 home, 2.80 draw, 6.00 away) as a base and then adjusting for the overwhelming home advantage, recent form and H2H dominance, we calculate the true outcome probabilities as follows: Viking win 65%, Draw 24%, Fredrikstad win 11%. The perfect home record and the 25-point gap in the standings make Viking the clear favourite.
Odds & Match Prediction
The supplied 1X2 odds are Viking 1.25, Draw 2.80, Fredrikstad 6.00. Bookmakers see Viking as the overwhelming favourite, and every metric supports that view. Based on the stats, a home win is the most likely result. Vikingโs attacking power at Viking Stadion and Fredrikstadโs inability to beat higher-ranked sides on the road make a comfortable victory probable.
Viking vs Fredrikstad โ FAQ
- Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
- Viking are strong favourites to win. Our probability model gives Viking a 65% chance, Fredrikstad an 11% chance, and the draw a 24% chance. The combination of perfect home form and dominant head-to-head record makes a Viking victory the most likely outcome.
- What is the win probability for Viking?
- Viking have a 65% win probability. This figure is derived from the bookmaker odds and then adjusted to reflect their ten wins from ten home league matches and the fact Fredrikstad have never beaten Viking in their last six meetings.
- When is the Viking vs Fredrikstad match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, with a kick-off time of 17:00 local time. It is an Eliteserien fixture, the top division in Norway, and will be played at the Viking Stadion in Stavanger.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current 1X2 odds are: Viking to win 1.25, the draw 2.80, and an away win for Fredrikstad at 6.00. These odds price Viking as the heavy favourites and give Fredrikstad only a slim chance of causing an upset.