Madla - Viking prediction 1 October 2026

Madla vs Viking prediction for the Norway Cup match on Oct 1, 2026, at 17:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Viking is the clear favorite with a 67% win probability, while Madla has just a 9% chance of causing an upset.

Team Form

Madla enters this Cup tie in strong form at their level. Their last five results in the 3rd Division read W, D, W, W, W. They thrashed Akra 6-0 away on Sep 26, drew 1-1 at home to Haugesund II on Sep 21, won 4-1 at Hinna on Sep 12, beat Flekkeroy 2-0 away on Sep 5, and hammered Odds BK 2 4-0 at home on Aug 31. That’s 17 goals scored and just 2 conceded in those five matches.

Viking’s recent form is also impressive, albeit against much stronger opposition. Their last five results: W, W, L, D, W. They beat Lillestrom 3-0 at home in the Eliteserien on Sep 20, demolished Kristiansund 8-1 at home on Sep 13, lost 3-1 away to VfB Stuttgart in the UEFA Champions League on Sep 9, drew 1-1 at Sandefjord on Sep 4, and won 3-1 at Brodd in the Cup on Sep 2. The only defeat came against a top Bundesliga side, and domestically Viking has been ruthless.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. In six previous meetings, all in the Cup, Viking has won every single match. The most recent encounters were on Apr 18, 2018, with identical 0-2 scorelines. Madla has never beaten Viking, nor even managed a draw.

League Table Positions

No current league table data is available for this Cup fixture, but the teams’ recent match logs reveal a clear gulf. Viking competes in the Eliteserien, Norway’s top flight, while Madla plays in the 3rd Division, three tiers below. This gap in quality heavily influences the win probability.

Win Probability: Madla or Viking?

Using the pre-match odds from four bookmakers, we calculated implied probabilities and normalized them to remove the overround. The base probabilities were then adjusted slightly for the dominant H2H record and the division gap. The final outcome probabilities are:

• Madla win: 9%
• Draw: 24%
• Viking win: 67%

Viking is the overwhelming favorite. The combination of superior league status, a perfect head-to-head record, and strong recent form makes an away win the most likely result by a wide margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers agree with the statistical picture. The best available odds for a Viking win range from 1.14 to 1.48, reflecting a high probability. A draw is priced between 3.10 and 7.00, while a Madla victory can be backed at odds as high as 8.25 to 13.00. These odds underline the expectation of a comfortable Viking win. Based on the stats, Viking is predicted to advance with a straightforward victory.