Stjarnan Women - Vikingur Women prediction 7 September 2026

Our Stjarnan Women vs Vikingur Women prediction for September 7, 2026, in the Icelandic Premier League Women points to a tight encounter where the away side holds a slight edge. Based on our calculated win probability, Vikingur Women have a 37% chance of victory, while Stjarnan Women sit at 33% and the draw lands at 30%. Bookmakers also see a close game, with odds around 2.40 for a home win and 3.25 for an away upset.

Team Form

Stjarnan Women’s recent form at home shows inconsistency: in their last five matches they managed one win, two draws and two defeats (L, W, L, D, D). The most recent home outing was a 2-0 win over Breidablik Women on August 20, but they slipped to a 3-2 loss at Fram Women on August 29. Vikingur Women’s away form is slightly better – they have two wins, two losses and one draw in their last five road trips (W, W, L, L, D). A 3-0 victory at Grindavik Women on August 29 and a 1-0 win at FH Hafnarfjodur Women on August 21 highlight their capability, though a 3-0 defeat at Thor Akureyri Women shows vulnerability.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these two sides across 13 meetings shows 6 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. However, recent history heavily favours Vikingur Women. In the last five clashes, Stjarnan Women have failed to record a single victory, suffering three defeats and two draws. The most recent encounter on April 24, 2026, ended 2-1 to Vikingur Women, and the highest-scoring game in that sequence was a 6-2 away win for Vikingur Women on April 22, 2025.

League Table Positions

In the Premier League Women standings, Stjarnan Women occupy 5th place with 25 points from 17 matches (8 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses). Vikingur Women are just behind in 6th on 22 points (7 wins, 1 draw, 9 losses). The home/away splits reveal a key dynamic: Stjarnan Women have the 3rd-best home record with 19 points from 9 games (6 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while Vikingur Women boast the 3rd-best away record with 16 points from 9 road trips (5 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). The table suggests Stjarnan’s home strength meets Vikingur’s away resilience.

Win Probability: Stjarnan Women or Vikingur Women?

We calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows: Stjarnan Women win – 33%, draw – 30%, Vikingur Women win – 37%. The base numbers come from the bookmaker odds (home 2.40, draw 2.50, away 3.25), which after removing the margin give a raw 37% home win, 36% draw, 27% away win. We then adjust for the recent head-to-head trend (Vikingur Women unbeaten in the last five meetings) and the away side’s slightly better recent form. Stjarnan’s strong home record prevents a bigger swing, but the data points to Vikingur Women as the narrow favourite in this matchup.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for the match vary across bookmakers, with the first set showing home win at 2.40, draw at 2.50, and away win at 3.25. Other books list the home win as low as 2.30 and the away win at 3.00. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a closely fought contest, but our prediction leans towards Vikingur Women to get a result on the road. The draw also holds significant value given the teams’ recent deadlocks. Punters looking for betting tips might consider the double chance X2 (draw or away win) as a safe option.