Valur Reykjavik Women - Vikingur Women prediction 25 September 2026

Valur Reykjavik Women vs Vikingur Women prediction for the Premier League Women match on Sep 25, 2026 at 19:00. Our analysis shows Valur Reykjavik Women as favourites with a 45% win chance, a draw at 25%, and Vikingur Women at 30%.

Team Form

Valur Reykjavik Women have posted a mixed L-W-D-W-L run in their last five league outings. They lost 0-1 at home to Thor Akureyri Women (Sep 19), defeated Grindavik 4-1 away, drew 2-2 at home to FH Hafnarfjodur, won 1-0 at Thor Akureyri, and fell 2-3 away to Throttur Reykjavik. Their scoring output is reasonable (9 goals in this stretch) but defensive lapses have cost points, conceding 7 times in the same period. At home this season, Valur average 2.00 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game.

Vikingur Women arrive in better short-term form (D-W-W-W-L). They drew 2-2 at Fram Women, won 2-1 at Stjarnan, hammered Grindavik 3-0 at home, edged FH Hafnarfjodur 1-0 away, and lost 0-3 to Thor Akureyri. They netted 8 goals and allowed 6 across these fixtures. On their travels, Vikingur have been a force, accumulating 16 points from 9 away matches (2.78 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per away game).

Head-to-Head Record

The all-time H2H is overwhelmingly in Valur’s favour. Out of 22 meetings, Valur Reykjavik Women have won 19, Vikingur Women have won 2, and there has been just 1 draw. In the last five clashes, Valur won the most recent two (1-0 home win in Aug 2026 and 0-1 away win in May 2026), while Vikingur claimed back-to-back wins in Sep 2025 (3-0 and 3-2). The only draw was a 1-1 result in May 2025. The last meeting at this venue ended 1-0, continuing a pattern of narrow scorelines when Valur host.

League Table Positions

Valur Reykjavik Women occupy 4th place with 27 points from 17 matches (8W, 3D, 6L; 30 goals for, 26 against). Vikingur Women sit 6th with 22 points (7W, 1D, 9L; 36 goals for, 39 against). The 5-point gap suggests a reasonably close contest. At home, Valur rank 5th with 14 points from 9 games (1.56 per game). Vikingur’s away form ranks 3rd, earning 16 points from 9 road trips (1.78 per game). This away strength is key: only Breidablik and Throttur have collected more away points.

Win Probability: Valur Reykjavik Women or Vikingur Women?

Taking into account the lopsided head-to-head history, current form, league standings, and the home/away dynamics, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:

• Valur Reykjavik Women win: 45%
• Draw: 25%
• Vikingur Women win: 30%

Valur’s 19 wins from 22 H2H clashes and their higher overall table position give them the edge. However, Vikingur’s superior away record this season (the third-best in the division) and their recent three wins in four games mean they pose a genuine threat. The draw is rare in this fixture (only 1 in 22), but both teams have drawn their most recent outing (Valur 2-2, Vikingur 2-2), making a stalemate plausible.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmaker odds are not available for this fixture at present. Based solely on the statistical model and head‑to‑head data, our prediction is a home win for Valur Reykjavik Women. While the visitors’ away form makes them dangerous, history and league standing point to a narrow home victory. A 2-1 scoreline in favour of Valur aligns with the scoring trends of both sides and is a realistic outcome.