Viljandi Tulevik - Tallinna Kalev II prediction 3 October 2026

The Viljandi Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev 2 prediction for October 3, 2026, points towards a home victory in this Esiliiga B clash. Based on league standings, recent form, and home advantage, Viljandi Tulevik enters the match as the clear favorite with an estimated 60% win probability. Kick‑off is at 10:30 local time, and all stats suggest the hosts should control the game.

Team Form

Viljandi Tulevik’s last five matches show three wins and two losses (W‑W‑L‑W‑L). Their most recent outing was a dominant 6‑1 home win against FA Tartu Kalev on September 26, and they also beat FCI Levadia Tallinn U19 5‑3 away. The two defeats came against Tammeka Tartu Reserves (3‑2) and Tallinna Kalev 2 (2‑1) in the reverse fixture.

Tallinna Kalev 2 have recorded two wins and three losses in their last five (L‑L‑W‑L‑W). They suffered a heavy 7‑0 away loss to Parnu JK Vaprus 2 on September 6 and a 2‑1 home defeat to JK Narva Trans II. Their victories were a 4‑1 home success against Tabasalu Jk Charma and the 2‑1 win over Viljandi Tulevik on August 30.

Head‑to‑Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides took place on August 30, 2026, in Esiliiga B. Tallinna Kalev 2 won that match 2‑1 at home. The head‑to‑head record therefore stands at 0 wins for Viljandi Tulevik, 0 draws, and 1 win for Tallinna Kalev 2. While the sample is small, it shows the visitors can be competitive.

League Table Positions

Viljandi Tulevik sit 4th in the overall Esiliiga B table with 47 points from 30 matches (14 wins, 5 draws, 11 losses). They have scored 80 goals and conceded 61. At home, they are even stronger – 4th in the home standings with 31 points from 17 games (9 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses) and a goal difference of +19 (48 scored, 29 conceded).

Tallinna Kalev 2 are 9th with 26 points (7 wins, 5 draws, 18 losses), a goal difference of –17 (60 scored, 77 conceded). Their away form is poor; they do not appear in the top eight of the away standings, indicating a weak record on the road.

Win Probability: Viljandi Tulevik or Tallinna Kalev 2?

After analysing all available data, the win probabilities are: Viljandi Tulevik 60%, draw 25%, Tallinna Kalev 2 15%. The home side’s higher league position, solid home record (1.82 points per game at home), and better recent form give them a significant edge. Although Tallinna Kalev 2 won the only head‑to‑head meeting, that was at their own ground, and their overall away struggles reduce their chances. Viljandi Tulevik is the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this Viljandi Tulevik vs Tallinna Kalev 2 fixture. Based on the stats, the match prediction is a home win for Viljandi Tulevik. Their attacking output (80 goals in 30 games) and the visitors’ defensive frailties (77 conceded) point towards a victory for the 4th‑placed side. A correct score or goal total cannot be guaranteed, but the probability model strongly favours the hosts.