Villa Dalmine - CSD Liniers prediction 10 October 2026

The Villa Dalmine vs CSD Liniers prediction for October 10, 2026, points to a home win in this Primera B Metropolitana clash. Based on our analysis, Villa Dalmine has a 50% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 30% and CSD Liniers at 20%. The match kicks off at 19:00 local time at Villa Dalmine’s ground.

Team Form

Villa Dalmine’s recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, one draw, and three losses (L, D, W, L, L). Their most recent outing was a 2-0 defeat away to Real Pilar on October 3. Before that, they drew 0-0 at home against UAI Urquiza and beat Ituzaingo 3-1 at home. Defeats to Excursionistas (3-0) and Arsenal de Sarandi (1-0) highlight defensive issues.

CSD Liniers come into this match with slightly better momentum. Their last five results show two wins, one draw, and two losses (W, L, L, W, D). They secured a 1-0 home win over Excursionistas on October 3, but suffered a 2-0 loss at Arsenal de Sarandi and a 1-2 home defeat to Argentino Merlo. A 2-0 away win at Talleres Remedios and a 2-2 home draw with Deportivo Laferrere round out their recent form.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides favours the home team historically. In three previous meetings, Villa Dalmine have won once, CSD Liniers twice, with no draws. Crucially, all three matches were won by the home side. Villa Dalmine’s only home fixture against Liniers ended in a 2-1 victory on September 8, 2025. The two away matches for Villa Dalmine resulted in defeats: 1-0 on May 31, 2026, and 4-0 on April 20, 2025. This pattern strongly suggests home advantage is decisive.

League Table Positions

Villa Dalmine sit 4th in the Primera B Metropolitana overall standings with 64 points from 38 matches (17 wins, 13 draws, 8 losses). They have scored 38 goals and conceded just 23, boasting one of the best defensive records. At home, they are 5th in the home table with 32 points from 19 games (8 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses), conceding only 11 goals. CSD Liniers are not listed among the top 12 teams in the overall table, indicating a lower league position. Their away form is also not among the top 8, suggesting they struggle on the road.

Win Probability: Villa Dalmine or CSD Liniers?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Villa Dalmine win – 50%, draw – 30%, CSD Liniers win – 20%. This assessment is based on several factors. Villa Dalmine’s strong home record (only 3 losses in 19 home games) and the head-to-head trend where the home team always wins give them a clear edge. CSD Liniers’ slightly better recent form and two H2H wins overall keep them in contention, but their unproven away form and lower league standing reduce their chances. The high draw probability reflects Villa Dalmine’s 8 home draws this season. Overall, Villa Dalmine are the more likely winners.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. However, based on the stats, our Villa Dalmine vs CSD Liniers prediction is a home win. The combination of home advantage, historical H2H pattern, and league position makes Villa Dalmine the favourites. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favour of the home side appears the most probable outcome. For betting tips, backing Villa Dalmine to win or the under 2.5 goals market could be worth considering, given their solid defence and low-scoring home matches.