Sportivo Italiano - Villa Dalmine prediction 31 October 2026

Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine prediction: the Primera B Metropolitana match is scheduled for Oct 31, 2026 at 20:00 UTC. Based on the team form, head-to-head record and league table positions, Sportivo Italiano are narrow favorites with a 38% win probability, while the draw is at 32% and Villa Dalmine have a 30% chance.

Team Form

Sportivo Italiano enter the match with three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last five Primera B Metropolitana fixtures. Their most recent results were:

• Oct 24, 2026: Excursionistas 4-0 Sportivo Italiano (L)
• Oct 17, 2026: Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Arsenal de Sarandi (D)
• Oct 11, 2026: Argentino Merlo 1-2 Sportivo Italiano (W)
• Oct 4, 2026: Sportivo Italiano 2-0 Talleres Remedios (W)
• Sep 26, 2026: Deportivo Laferrere 1-2 Sportivo Italiano (W)

Sportivo Italiano have a home record of 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses from 20 home matches, scoring 22 goals and conceding 15. That form is solid but not dominant, which explains the tight probability split.

Villa Dalmine have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five league matches. Their results, most recent first, were:

• Oct 24, 2026: Villa Dalmine 1-0 San Martin Burzaco (W)
• Oct 17, 2026: Villa San Carlos 3-0 Villa Dalmine (L)
• Oct 10, 2026: Villa Dalmine 1-1 CSD Liniers (D)
• Oct 3, 2026: Real Pilar 2-0 Villa Dalmine (L)
• Sep 27, 2026: Villa Dalmine 0-0 UAI Urquiza (D)

Villa Dalmine's away record is 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses from 20 away games, with 20 goals scored and 15 conceded. That is slightly stronger by wins than Sportivo Italiano's home record, which keeps them firmly in the contest.

Head-to-Head Record

Recent H2H record between Sportivo Italiano and Villa Dalmine is completely level: one Sportivo Italiano win, one draw and one Villa Dalmine win in three Primera B Metropolitana meetings.

• Jun 20, 2026: Villa Dalmine 2-1 Sportivo Italiano
• Jul 5, 2025: Villa Dalmine 0-1 Sportivo Italiano
• Feb 14, 2025: Sportivo Italiano 0-0 Villa Dalmine

There is no clear head-to-head edge for either team entering this fixture.

League Table Positions

Sportivo Italiano sit 3rd overall in the Primera B Metropolitana table with 69 points from 41 matches. Villa Dalmine are 5th with 68 points from 41 matches, so the overall gap is just one point.

In home and away splits, the situation remains tight. Sportivo Italiano have 32 points from 20 home games (8W-8D-4L). Villa Dalmine also have 32 points from 20 away games (9W-5D-6L). Those comparable records support a low-margin match.

Win Probability: Sportivo Italiano or Villa Dalmine?

Based on the available stats, Sportivo Italiano has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Villa Dalmine has a 30% chance. The probabilities are close because the teams are separated by only one point in the overall table and their home/away records are level on points.

Sportivo Italiano's stronger recent form gives them the edge, but their home record of four defeats from 20 games is not a huge barrier for Villa Dalmine, who have won 9 road matches. The most likely single outcome is a narrow Sportivo Italiano win, with a draw nearly as likely and an away win also possible.

Sportivo Italiano vs Villa Dalmine Prediction: Odds & Final Pick

The source data lists the 1X2 market as the selected market but does not include specific bookmaker odds for this fixture. Without published odds, the prediction is based on team form, head-to-head record and league table positions.

For betting tips, the stats point to a narrow Sportivo Italiano win, but the draw should not be ignored given the balanced H2H and comparable home/away records. Final prediction: Sportivo Italiano are a narrow favorite, but this is not a high-confidence pick.