Villa San Carlos Reserves - UAI Urquiza Reserves prediction 13 October 2026

Our Villa San Carlos Reserves vs UAI Urquiza Reserves prediction for October 13, 2026, points to an away win with a 41% probability. The Primera B Metropolitana Reserve match kicks off at 15:00 local time, and bookmakers see UAI Urquiza Reserves as the favorite based on recent form and head-to-head resilience.

Team Form

Villa San Carlos Reserves come into this match with a mixed run: one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five outings (D, W, D, D, L). Their most recent result was a 0-0 home draw against this same opponent on October 8. The only victory in this sequence was a 2-1 home win over Deportivo Laferrere Reserves on October 6.

UAI Urquiza Reserves are in much stronger form, with three wins and two draws in their last five (D, D, W, W, W). They have scored seven goals across those three victories, including a 3-1 home win over CSD Liniers Reserves and a 3-0 away win at Real Pilar Reserves. The two draws were both 0-0 against Villa San Carlos Reserves, highlighting a solid defensive setup.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides spans four matches, all in reserve leagues. Villa San Carlos Reserves have one win, three draws, and no losses against UAI Urquiza Reserves. The last three meetings have all ended 0-0, including the most recent clash on October 8, 2026. The only victory came on April 16, 2025, when Villa San Carlos Reserves won 1-0 away. This history suggests tight, low-scoring contests.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the Primera B Metropolitana Reserve standings, indicating both are positioned in the lower half of the table. The available data shows the top spots occupied by clubs like Velez Sarsfield Reserves (47 points) and Boca Juniors Reserves (39 points). Without exact positions for Villa San Carlos Reserves and UAI Urquiza Reserves, we can only note that they are not among the league’s frontrunners, which adds extra weight to current form and head-to-head trends when making a prediction.

Win Probability: Villa San Carlos Reserves or UAI Urquiza Reserves?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home/away factor, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Villa San Carlos Reserves win: 32%
• Draw: 27%
• UAI Urquiza Reserves win: 41%

The odds (home 2.70, draw 3.30, away 2.25) already imply an away advantage, and UAI Urquiza Reserves’ excellent recent form—three wins in five—strengthens that view. Villa San Carlos Reserves have struggled for consistency, with only one win in the same period, and the head-to-head record, while unbeaten for the home side, shows three consecutive 0-0 draws. The probability model adjusts the bookmaker-implied chances slightly to reflect the away team’s momentum, giving UAI Urquiza Reserves a clear edge. Therefore, UAI Urquiza Reserves is the more likely winner, but a draw remains a realistic outcome given the history of stalemates.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are: Villa San Carlos Reserves 2.70, Draw 3.30, UAI Urquiza Reserves 2.25. Bookmakers see UAI Urquiza Reserves as the favorite, which aligns with their superior form. Our prediction, based on the stats, is that UAI Urquiza Reserves have the highest chance of winning, but the match is likely to be low-scoring and could easily end in a draw. The head-to-head pattern of three straight 0-0 results cannot be ignored. A cautious betting tip would be to consider the draw or an away win, with under 2.5 goals a sensible supporting market.