Balears FC Women - Villarreal Women prediction 9 September 2026

The Balears FC Women vs Villarreal Women prediction for the Cup Women match on September 9, 2026, at 16:30 leans towards an away win. Based on the odds and recent form, Villarreal Women enters this fixture as the clear favorite with a calculated win probability of 68%. Balears FC Women, despite home advantage, faces an uphill battle with a 17% chance of victory.

Team Form

Balears FC Women's recent form is a concern. They have one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (W, L, L, L, D). Their most recent outing was a 4-2 home victory against Valencia B Women on September 6, 2026, in the Segunda Federacion Women, which broke a four-game winless streak.

Villarreal Women's form is similarly patchy, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L, L, W, L, D). However, their recent matches have been against higher-level opposition in the Primera Federacion Women and Friendly Clubs Women. They are coming off a 4-1 loss to Levante UD Women on September 3, 2026.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Balears FC Women, who have won both previous encounters. The most recent meeting was on January 19, 2025, in the Primera Federacion Women, where Balears FC Women secured a 1-0 home win. Earlier, on October 13, 2024, they won 3-1 away at Villarreal Women. Despite this perfect H2H record, current odds suggest a different outcome this time.

League Table Positions

No specific league table positions or points are provided in the data for this Cup Women competition. The match is a cup fixture, making direct league comparison less relevant. The recent league matches for both teams come from different divisions, with Balears FC Women competing in the Segunda Federacion Women and Villarreal Women in the Primera Federacion Women, indicating a potential gap in competitive level.

Win Probability: Balears FC Women or Villarreal Women?

After analyzing the data, the win probabilities are: Balears FC Women 17%, Draw 15%, Villarreal Women 68%. This calculation is based primarily on the bookmaker odds, which strongly favor Villarreal Women. The inverse of the average odds, normalized to remove the margin, gives Villarreal Women a dominant base probability. While Balears FC Women has a perfect 2-0 head-to-head record, this is outweighed by the significant odds disparity and the fact that Villarreal Women regularly competes in a higher division. The home advantage for Balears FC Women is factored in but is not enough to shift the balance. Villarreal Women is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Villarreal Women as the strong favorite. The available 1X2 odds show a clear trend: a home win for Balears FC Women is priced around 7.50 to 8.80, a draw is around 2.50 to 4.60, and an away win for Villarreal Women is as low as 1.26 to 1.73. Based on the stats and these odds, the prediction is an away victory for Villarreal Women. The significant gap in odds suggests the market has high confidence in the visitors despite their recent mixed form.