CE Europa Women vs Villarreal Women prediction for the Cup Women match on Sep 30, 2026. Based on the stats, Villarreal Women are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while CE Europa Women have a 25% chance and the draw is at 30%.
CE Europa Women have shown mixed form recently. In their last five matches, they recorded three wins and two losses. Their most recent competitive home games were victories: a 3-1 win over Badalona B Women on Sep 19 and a 2-0 win against CD Samper Women on Sep 5. However, they suffered defeats in friendly matches against Seccio Esportiva AEM Women (1-2) and Espanyol Women (0-2).
Villarreal Women, on the other hand, are in solid shape. They are unbeaten in four of their last five outings, with two wins and two draws. In competitive away matches, they beat RUT Tacuense Women 2-1 on Sep 19 and Balears FC Women 1-0 in the Cup Women on Sep 9, while drawing 1-1 with UDG Costa Adeje Tenerife 2 Women on Sep 13. Their only recent loss came in a friendly against Levante UD Women (1-4).
These teams have met three times before, and Villarreal Women hold a clear advantage. The head-to-head record shows 2 wins for Villarreal Women, 1 draw, and 0 wins for CE Europa Women. The most recent encounter on Mar 22, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. Before that, Villarreal Women won 3-1 at home on Sep 20, 2025, and 4-2 away in a friendly on Aug 20, 2023. Villarreal have scored 8 goals in these three matches, while CE Europa Women managed 4.
Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Villarreal Women have a 45% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and CE Europa Women have a 25% chance. The bookmakers' average odds imply a similar distribution, but Villarreal's strong H2H record and slightly better recent away form tip the balance in their favor. CE Europa Women will have home advantage, but they have struggled against this opponent historically.
Bookmakers offer varying odds for this Cup Women fixture. The best available odds for a CE Europa Women win are around 4.00, a draw is priced at about 2.20, and a Villarreal Women victory can be found at 2.50 down to 1.90. These odds clearly indicate Villarreal Women as the favorite. Our prediction: Villarreal Women are the more likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the competitive nature of cup matches. Based on the stats, a 1-1 or 1-2 scoreline seems plausible.