Lietava Jonava - Vilnius Zalgiris B prediction 31 October 2026

The Lietava Jonava vs Vilnius Zalgiris B prediction for this 1 Lyga match on October 31, 2026, at 11:00 leans towards the visitors. Based on our analysis, Vilnius Zalgiris B has a 42% chance of winning, while the home side sits at 35%, with a 23% probability of a draw.

Team Form

Lietava Jonava enters this fixture in poor shape, having lost four of their last five matches (L, W, L, L, L). Their only recent victory was a 3-0 home win against BFA Vilnius on October 16. Defeats include a 3-0 loss at Atmosfera Mazeikiai and a 2-0 loss at FK Babrungas Plunge.

Vilnius Zalgiris B shows more balanced form with three wins in their last five (W, L, W, L, W). They secured a 2-0 away win at Garliava on October 23 and a 2-1 victory at BFA Vilnius on October 9. Their two recent losses came against Atmosfera Mazeikiai (2-3 at home) and FK Babrungas Plunge (0-1 at home).

Head-to-Head Record

In 11 previous meetings, Lietava Jonava has 5 wins, Vilnius Zalgiris B has 3, and 3 matches ended in draws. The most recent clash on June 21, 2026, saw Lietava Jonava win 2-1 away. However, Vilnius Zalgiris B won the two prior encounters: 3-0 away in November 2024 and 4-0 away in October 2023. The fixture on this exact date last year ended in a 0-0 draw.

League Table Positions

Vilnius Zalgiris B sits 4th in the 1 Lyga standings with 49 points from 28 matches (15 wins, 4 draws, 9 losses). They have scored 44 goals and conceded 36. Their away record is solid, ranking 4th with 23 points from 14 road games (7 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses).

Lietava Jonava is 10th with 30 points from 28 matches (8 wins, 6 draws, 14 losses), scoring 31 and conceding 38. Their home form is not among the top eight in the league, indicating struggles at their own ground.

Win Probability: Lietava Jonava or Vilnius Zalgiris B?

Using the available odds (home 2.22, draw 3.25, away 2.75) as a base and adjusting for recent form and league positions, we calculate the following probabilities: Vilnius Zalgiris B has a 42% chance to win, Lietava Jonava has a 35% chance, and the draw stands at 23%. The visitors' higher league standing and better recent form give them a slight edge, despite the head-to-head record favoring the home team historically.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a relatively close contest. The odds are 2.22 for a Lietava Jonava win, 3.25 for a draw, and 2.75 for a Vilnius Zalgiris B victory. Based on the stats, Vilnius Zalgiris B appears the more likely winner, but the match could be tight. The value might lie with the away side given their superior league position and recent performances.