Vonds Ichihara - Grulla Morioka prediction 3 October 2026

Looking for a Vonds Ichihara vs Grulla Morioka prediction? This J4 League match kicks off on October 3, 2026 at 05:00 in Japan. Based on bookmaker odds and recent team form, Vonds Ichihara is a slight favorite with a 39% win probability, the draw is at 36%, and Grulla Morioka has a 25% chance.

Team Form

Vonds Ichihara's last five results are D, W, L, L, W. They drew 1-1 with Tiamo Hirakata on Sep 26, beat Maruyasu Okazaki 1-0 at home on Sep 19, lost 2-1 at Honda FC on Sep 12, lost 0-1 at home to Criacao Shinjuku on Sep 5, and won 3-1 at Veertien MIE on Aug 29. At home during this spell they recorded one win and one loss.

Grulla Morioka have produced L, D, L, W, W over their last five outings. They lost 1-2 at home to Maruyasu Okazaki on Sep 27, drew 1-1 with Azul Claro Numazu FC on Sep 13, lost 1-3 at Verspah Oita on Sep 5, then won 2-1 at J-Lease on Jun 7 and 2-1 at home against Azul Claro Numazu FC on May 16 in League Cup matches. Their two recent wins came outside J4 League play.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Vonds Ichihara and Grulla Morioka is minimal: one meeting, a 0-0 draw in the League Cup on March 22, 2026. That leaves Vonds Ichihara with 0 wins, Grulla Morioka with 0 wins, and 1 draw, so there is no clear historical edge for either team.

League Table Positions

In the J4 League overall standings, Grulla Morioka are 9th with 36 points from 29 matches. Their record is 10 wins, 6 draws and 13 losses, with 42 goals scored and 47 conceded. Vonds Ichihara are not listed among the top 12 teams in the supplied standings table.

Win Probability: Vonds Ichihara or Grulla Morioka?

Based on the odds and adjusted for league position and home factor, Vonds Ichihara has a 39% chance of winning, the draw is at 36%, and Grulla Morioka has a 25% chance. These probabilities total 100%.

The bookmaker odds imply a very close contest. After removing the margin, home win and draw probabilities are nearly identical. Vonds Ichihara's home advantage slightly outweighs Grulla Morioka's better overall league placement, while both teams have identical recent form patterns. The 39% for Vonds Ichihara is only three percentage points above the draw, so this is not a high-confidence pick.

Conclusion: Vonds Ichihara are more likely to win than Grulla Morioka, but the draw is a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers price Vonds Ichihara between 1.91 and 2.52, the draw between 2.05 and 3.40, and Grulla Morioka between 3.40 and 3.95. The lowest home odds of 1.91 indicate one bookmaker strongly favors the home side, though other books have the draw as the shortest or second-shortest option.

Our Vonds Ichihara vs Grulla Morioka prediction: based on the stats, the most likely single result is a home win, but the draw is nearly as probable. A double chance bet on Vonds Ichihara or draw is a safer betting tip given the combined 75% probability. Bookmakers see Vonds Ichihara as the favorite overall.