VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku prediction 24 October 2026

VPS Vaasa vs Inter Turku Prediction

The VPS Vaasa vs Inter Turku prediction for this Veikkausliiga match on October 24, 2026, points towards an away win, with Inter Turku holding a 46% probability of victory. VPS Vaasa, playing at Lemonsoft Stadion (capacity 6000, artificial surface), have struggled against this opponent recently and sit lower in the league table.

Team Form

VPS Vaasa come into this game with poor form: their last five results are L, W, L, L, L. The lone win was a narrow 1-0 home victory over Gnistan, but heavy defeats to HJK Helsinki (6-0 away) and KuPS (2-0 away, 0-2 home) and a 0-1 loss to Inter Turku highlight serious defensive issues. Inter Turku are in much better shape: L, W, D, W, W in the same period. They lost 1-2 at home to AC Oulu in their most recent outing, but before that they beat KuPS 1-0, drew 0-0 away to Gnistan, and secured back-to-back 1-0 away wins at AC Oulu and at home against VPS Vaasa.

Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head history, VPS Vaasa have 15 wins, Inter Turku 13, and 11 draws. However, recent encounters strongly favor Inter Turku: they won the last two Veikkausliiga meetings 1-0 (home on Sep 14, 2026, and away on Aug 2, 2026). A Cup fixture also ended 3-2 to Inter Turku. The only respite for VPS Vaasa in the last four H2H matches was a 0-0 draw at Inter Turku in April 2026.

League Table Positions

In the Veikkausliiga overall standings (22 matches), Inter Turku occupy 2nd place with 42 points (11 wins, 9 draws, 2 losses, 29 goals scored, 16 conceded). VPS Vaasa are 6th with 33 points (9 wins, 6 draws, 7 losses, 29 scored, 22 conceded). The away table highlights Inter Turku’s strength: they are 1st with 22 points from 11 road games (6 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss, 18-10 goals). VPS Vaasa sit 8th in the home table with 18 points from 11 matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, 18-11). The gap in consistency and defensive solidity is significant.

Win Probability: VPS Vaasa or Inter Turku?

Based on the average odds across bookmakers (VPS Vaasa 4.70, Draw 2.65, Inter Turku 2.01), and adjusting for recent form and head-to-head records, the outcome probabilities are: VPS Vaasa win – 20%, draw – 34%, Inter Turku win – 46%. Inter Turku are rightful favorites: they top the away standings, have won their last three away Veikkausliiga matches without conceding, and have beaten VPS Vaasa in three of the last four clashes. VPS Vaasa’s high-scoring defeats and low conversion make an upset unlikely, but the high draw probability reflects how tight Veikkausliiga matches often are.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ pre-match odds show a clear away lean: average odds for an Inter Turku win are 2.01, with some outlets as low as 1.70. A draw is quoted around 2.65, while a VPS Vaasa home win stands at around 4.70, with extremes up to 5.70. Our prediction, backed by numbers, is an away win or a low-scoring draw. Given Inter Turku’s defensive record (only 10 goals conceded away all season) and VPS Vaasa’s recent attacking woes, the most likely correct scores are 0-1 or 1-1.