VPV - FC Ylivieska prediction 10 September 2026
VPV
FC YlivieskaVPV
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The VPV vs FC Ylivieska prediction for 10 September 2026 in the Finland Kolmonen league suggests FC Ylivieska are slight favourites. Based on odds, form and head-to-head data, the away side has a 38% probability of winning, while VPV has 34% and a draw sits at 28%.
Team Form
VPV go into this match after back-to-back away defeats โ 0-2 at NIK on 3 September and 1-2 at VIFK on 21 August. Before that, however, they won three straight: 2-1 at home to Kiisto, 2-1 away at Sporting Kristina, and 1-0 at home against KPV Akatemia. Their last five form reads L-L-W-W-W. FC Ylivieskaโs recent results show inconsistency: a 2-2 home draw with SJK Akatemia 2 on 3 September, a 3-4 away loss at SIF, a 3-2 away win at Lapuan Virkia, a 2-1 home win over NIK, and a 1-1 draw with VIFK. Their form string is D-L-W-W-D.
Head-to-Head Record
The two previous meetings between these teams both ended in FC Ylivieska wins. On 17 June 2026, FC Ylivieska thrashed VPV 4-0 at home. Earlier, on 24 July 2025, they won 5-2 on their own ground. VPV have yet to get a positive result against todayโs opponents.
Win Probability: VPV or FC Ylivieska?
Based on the available odds from multiple bookmakers, we calculated the implied probabilities after removing the margin, then adjusted for recent form and the one-sided H2H record. VPV have a 34% chance of winning, a draw has 28% probability, and FC Ylivieska are at 38%. Despite VPVโs home advantage and three recent wins, the two heavy head-to-head defeats tip the scale slightly towards the away side.
VPV vs FC Ylivieska Betting Tips & Prediction
Bookmakers are offering varying odds. One set shows VPV win at 2.62, draw at 2.70, FC Ylivieska at 2.88; another lists VPV at 2.22, draw at a high 3.95, FC Ylivieska at 2.38. The draw price is notably long in one market, suggesting bookies believe a winner is more likely. Considering the head-to-head dominance and the recent form, the predicted outcome leans towards an FC Ylivieska victory or a draw. For betting tips, the away win at odds around 2.88 offers good value given the 38% probability.
VPV vs FC Ylivieska โ FAQ
- Who will win VPV vs FC Ylivieska?
- FC Ylivieska are slightly more likely to win with a 38% probability, while VPV has 34% and the draw 28%. The head-to-head record and bookmaker odds support this near-equal chance.
- What is the win probability for FC Ylivieska?
- FC Ylivieska has a 38% chance of winning. This figure comes from normalising bookmaker odds and adjusting for their perfect H2H record (two wins) and VPVโs home form.
- When is the VPV vs FC Ylivieska match?
- The match takes place on 10 September 2026 at 16:00 local time. It is a Kolmonen (Finland) fixture.
- What are the odds for VPV vs FC Ylivieska?
- Betting odds include 2.62 for a VPV win, 2.70 for the draw and 2.88 for an FC Ylivieska win from one bookmaker. Another offers 2.22 / 3.95 / 2.38.
- What is the head-to-head record between VPV and FC Ylivieska?
- FC Ylivieska have won both previous meetings: 4-0 in June 2026 and 5-2 in July 2025. VPV have not scored more than 2 goals against them.