Zagorec Krapina - Vrapce Zagreb prediction 4 September 2026

Zagorec Krapina vs Vrapce Zagreb prediction for the Treca HNL match on September 4, 2026, at 17:00 UTC. Based on the latest odds, team form, and statistical analysis, Zagorec Krapina is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while the draw is estimated at 32% and a Vrapce Zagreb win at 20%.

Team Form

Zagorec Krapina’s recent form has been solid, with three wins, one draw and only one loss in their last five matches (L, W, D, W, W):

• Inter Zapresic 4–0 Zagorec Krapina (L)
• Zagorec Krapina 4–0 Maksimir Zagreb (W)
• Zagorec Krapina 1–1 Bistra (D)
• Gaj Mace 0–4 Zagorec Krapina (W)
• Zagorec Krapina 3–1 Precko (W)

At home, they have been particularly strong: two wins and a draw in their last three home outings, scoring 8 goals and conceding only 2.

Vrapce Zagreb’s last five results are more mixed (L, W, W, W, L):

• Samobor 4–1 Vrapce Zagreb (L)
• Vrapce Zagreb 2–1 Udarnik Kurilovec (W)
• Bistra 0–4 Vrapce Zagreb (W)
• Dinamo Odranski Obrez 1–2 Vrapce Zagreb (W)
• Bistra 2–0 Vrapce Zagreb (L)

Their away form shows inconsistency: two wins and two losses in the last four road trips, with a 7–7 goal difference.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded head-to-head history between Zagorec Krapina and Vrapce Zagreb. The two sides have not met in recent competitions, so no direct H2H trends can be applied.

Win Probability: Zagorec Krapina or Vrapce Zagreb?

Zagorec Krapina has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Vrapce Zagreb has a 20% chance. These probabilities are derived from the average 1X2 odds (home 2.02, draw 2.38, away 4.60) after removing the bookmaker margin, then adjusted for recent form and home advantage. Zagorec Krapina’s three wins in five, plus a convincing home record, lift their chances above the raw implied odds. Vrapce Zagreb’s away fragility and two losses in the last five keep their win probability low, while the draw remains a realistic outcome given both teams’ occasional defensive lapses.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the following odds for this Treca HNL fixture (across three major sportsbooks):

• Home win: 2.05 – 2.05 – 1.95
• Draw: 2.40 – 2.35 – 2.40
• Away win: 4.50 – 4.80 – 4.50

Taking the average, the market sees Zagorec Krapina as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome, but the draw is priced attractively. Our final prediction is a home win for Zagorec Krapina, with a double chance (1X) also offering value for cautious bettors.