Rijnvogels - VVSB Noordwijkerhout prediction 22 September 2026
Rijnvogels
VVSB Noordwijkerhout
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Rijnvogels vs VVSB Noordwijkerhout prediction for the KNVB Beker match on Sep 22 at 19:00 in Netherlands. Rijnvogels are the favourites: based on current odds, team form, head-to-head record and home advantage, Rijnvogels has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and VVSB Noordwijkerhout has a 20% chance.
Team Form
Rijnvogels enter this cup tie in excellent form. Their last five results are W, W, W, W and D. In that run, they scored 18 goals and conceded just 4. The sequence includes a 4-1 away win at UNA on Sep 13, a 5-2 home win against Dongen on Sep 5, a 5-0 home cup win against Bennekom on Sep 2, a 4-1 away win at GOES on Aug 30, and a 0-0 draw at Blauw Geel '38 on Aug 23. That consistency makes them a strong home favourite.
VVSB Noordwijkerhout have been less consistent. Their last five results are L, W, D, L and W. They scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in that run. They lost 2-0 at VV Noordwijk on Sep 12, beat Ajax Amateurs 2-0 at home in the KNVB Beker on Sep 2, drew 3-3 at Groene Ster on Aug 30, lost 2-0 at home to RKSV UDI 1919 on Aug 22, and won 1-0 at SV Poortugaal on Aug 15. The away form is mixed, with one win, one draw and one loss in the last three away matches in all competitions.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these sides leans towards VVSB Noordwijkerhout. Across the last four meetings, VVSB have three wins, Rijnvogels have one win, and there have been no draws. The most recent game was on May 23 in 3 Derde Divisie, when Rijnvogels lost 0-3 at home. Before that, on Mar 7, VVSB won 4-1 at home; on Dec 13, VVSB won 3-1 at home; and on Oct 4, Rijnvogels won 1-0 at home. So the H2H record is one factor that keeps the away win probability from being lower.
Win Probability: Rijnvogels or VVSB Noordwijkerhout?
Based on the 1X2 odds, the market gives Rijnvogels the highest chance. The best available odds imply a home probability around 44โ46% before adjustments. After adjusting for Rijnvogels' strong run of four wins and a draw in five matches and the home advantage, the estimated win probability is 55% for Rijnvogels, 25% for the draw and 20% for VVSB Noordwijkerhout. The total is 100%.
VVSB Noordwijkerhout's three wins in the last four head-to-head meetings are the main reason the away win probability is not lower than 20%. However, their current mixed form and away record reduce their chance compared with the H2H trend.
Rijnvogels vs VVSB Noordwijkerhout Prediction: Odds & Betting Tips
The pre-match 1X2 odds in the feed show Rijnvogels at 1.85, draw 2.35 and VVSB Noordwijkerhout at 3.75 from one bookmaker. Other listed markets have Rijnvogels between 1.78 and 1.85, the draw between 2.35 and 3.94, and VVSB between 3.60 and 3.75. Bookmakers see Rijnvogels as the favourite.
Our betting tips are based on the stats: Rijnvogels on form are the safer pick, but the three wins for VVSB in the last four H2H matches mean the away side cannot be ignored. The most likely final outcome is a home win for Rijnvogels, with 55% win probability. A draw is less likely at 25%, and an away win is the least likely at 20%.
Rijnvogels vs VVSB Noordwijkerhout โ FAQ
- Who will win Rijnvogels vs VVSB Noordwijkerhout?
- Rijnvogels are the most likely team to win with a 55% chance. The draw is at 25%, and VVSB Noordwijkerhout have a 20% chance based on the odds, team form and head-to-head record.
- What is the win probability for Rijnvogels?
- Rijnvogels have a 55% chance of winning this KNVB Beker match. This is based on their strong recent form of four wins and one draw in five games plus home advantage.
- When is the Rijnvogels vs VVSB Noordwijkerhout match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 22 at 19:00. It is in the KNVB Beker in Netherlands.
- What are the odds for Rijnvogels vs VVSB Noordwijkerhout?
- The listed 1X2 odds include Rijnvogels at 1.85, the draw at 2.35 and VVSB Noordwijkerhout at 3.75. Other bookmaker odds range from 1.78 to 1.85 for Rijnvogels, 2.35 to 3.94 for the draw, and 3.60 to 3.75 for VVSB.
- What is the head-to-head record between Rijnvogels and VVSB Noordwijkerhout?
- In the last four meetings, VVSB Noordwijkerhout have won three, Rijnvogels have won one, and there have been no draws. The most recent match on May 23 ended 3-0 to VVSB.