Kuchl - Wals-Grunau prediction 29 September 2026

Our Kuchl vs Wals-Grunau prediction for this Regional Cup clash on Sep 29 at 18:00 sees Wals-Grunau as the narrow favorite. Based on the latest odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Wals-Grunau has a 41% chance of winning, while Kuchl sits at 34%, with a draw probability of 25%.

Team Form

Kuchl enter this cup tie in poor form, having lost four of their last five matches. Their most recent outings include a heavy 5-1 defeat at Bad Schallerbach, a 2-1 loss at Seekirchen, and a 1-0 cup exit at Vorwarts Steyr. The only bright spot was a 6-1 friendly win over Golling, but their competitive results show clear defensive struggles.

Wals-Grunau, by contrast, have won three of their last five. They beat Pinzgau Saalfelden 2-1, edged SV Grodig 3-2 away, and thrashed Vorwarts Steyr 3-0. A heavy 5-1 cup loss to Austria Salzburg is a blemish, but their league form is strong, and they closed the season with a 3-1 win over Reichenau.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is tight, with Kuchl holding a slight edge at 5 wins to Wals-Grunau's 4, and no draws in their 9 meetings. The most recent encounter saw Kuchl win 2-1 away at Wals-Grunau in May 2026. Before that, Kuchl won 2-0 at home in October 2025. However, Wals-Grunau did win 3-1 at home in June 2025, showing they can beat Kuchl on their day.

League Table Positions

No specific league table positions or points are provided in the data. Both teams compete in the Regional League, but this match is a Regional Cup fixture, where current league standing may be less directly influential.

Win Probability: Kuchl or Wals-Grunau?

We calculate the win probabilities based on the inverse of the bookmaker odds, normalized to remove the margin. The odds imply a 38% chance for a Kuchl win, 25% for the draw, and 48% for a Wals-Grunau win. Adjusting for recent form—where Kuchl have lost 4 of 5 and Wals-Grunau have won 3 of 5—and the head-to-head record, we shift the probabilities slightly. Kuchl has a 34% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Wals-Grunau has a 41% chance. Wals-Grunau is more likely to win based on current form, though the match is expected to be competitive.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this match closely. The odds are 2.60 for a Kuchl home win, 4.00 for the draw, and 2.10 for a Wals-Grunau away win. This indicates Wals-Grunau are the favorites, but not overwhelmingly so. Based on the stats, the value may lie with the away side, given their superior recent results and the fact that Kuchl have been leaking goals. Our prediction is a Wals-Grunau win, but a draw is a realistic possibility.