Tsun Tat Kui Tan/Kwok Keung - Wanchai Sports prediction 11 October 2026

Our Tsun Tat Kui Tan/Kwok Keung vs Wanchai Sports prediction for this Second Division League fixture on October 11 at 06:00 assesses the home side as the more likely winner with a calculated 45% probability. The teams have a history of draws, but current form and bookmaker odds give the hosts a clear edge.

Team Form

Tsun Tat Kui Tan/Kwok Keung enter this match with a mixed bag of results: two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings (W, W, L, L, D). They scored 10 goals and conceded 7 across those games. Notably, they secured back-to-back away wins in September, beating Yau Tsim Mong 3-0 and Sai Kung DSA 3-1, showing they can be lethal on the road and now return home.

Wanchai Sports also show two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (W, L, W, L, D). Their form has been inconsistent, with a heavy 3-0 defeat at Kwong Wah and a 2-0 home loss to Wing Yee FC Easyknit Property. However, they did beat Tsuen Wan 3-1 at home and drew 2-2 with Kowloon Cricket Club in their most recent match.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is perfectly balanced with two draws from two meetings. Both matches ended 2-2. The most recent encounter on February 9, 2025, in the Third Division League finished 2-2, while the earlier clash on January 12, 2025, also ended in a 2-2 stalemate.

League Table Positions

As both clubs compete in the Hong Kong Second Division League, their exact positions and points are not provided in the available data. However, Tsun Tat Kui Tan/Kwok Keung hold home advantage for this clash.

Win Probability: Tsun Tat Kui Tan/Kwok Keung or Wanchai Sports?

Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head data, Tsun Tat Kui Tan/Kwok Keung has a 45% chance of winning. The draw probability stands at 35%, and Wanchai Sports has a 20% chance of winning. The home side's better recent scoring record and bookmaker odds listing them as favorites support this conclusion, though the two consecutive 2-2 draws in the H2H give the draw a higher-than-average probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers present a range of odds for this match. The best available home win odds for Tsun Tat Kui Tan/Kwok Keung are 1.91, the draw is offered at 2.62, and an away win for Wanchai Sports is priced up to 3.20. Based on the stats, odds, and H2H record, Tsun Tat Kui Tan/Kwok Keung are the favorites to win, but a draw is a very realistic outcome. The under 2.5 goals total may also be worth considering given the tightly contested history between these sides.