Warrenpoint Town - Annagh United prediction 3 October 2026

Our Warrenpoint Town vs Annagh United prediction for this Championship 1 match on Oct 3 at 15:00 points towards an away win. Based on the latest form and league standings, Annagh United enters the game as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Warrenpoint Town has a 28% chance of victory.

Team Form

Warrenpoint Town's recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches (W, D, W, L, L). Their most recent outing was a solid 2-0 away win against Rathfriland Rangers on Sep 25. However, they suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat at H&W Welders on Aug 8 and a 2-1 friendly loss to Cliftonville in July.

Annagh United, on the other hand, is in superb form, recording four wins and one draw in their last five (W, D, W, W, W). They demolished Institute 5-0 at home on Sep 26 and have also secured victories against H&W Welders (3-1), Ards (2-1), and Moyola Park (2-0) in recent weeks. The only minor blip was a 1-1 draw away at Newry City on Sep 18.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced, with two wins each from four previous meetings. The most recent encounters both took place in 2026, with Annagh United winning 1-0 at home on Mar 3 and also securing a 1-0 away victory at Warrenpoint Town on Mar 14. Warrenpoint's wins came earlier, with a 1-0 away success in February 2023 and a 1-0 home win in the Premiership back in September 2022. Notably, there have been no draws in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Annagh United sits 2nd in the Championship 1 table with 20 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), scoring 23 goals and conceding 12. Their away form is not detailed in the away standings, but their home record is perfect with 5 wins from 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding just 4.

Warrenpoint Town is 7th with 13 points from 9 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses), with 17 goals scored and 14 conceded. On the road, they have collected 7 points from 5 away games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), ranking 5th in the away table. The 7-point gap and significant goal difference highlight Annagh United's superiority so far this season.

Win Probability: Warrenpoint Town or Annagh United?

Calculating the win probability based on available odds, recent form, and league positions, we assess the chances as follows: Warrenpoint Town has a 28% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Annagh United has a 48% chance. The bookmakers' average implied odds, after removing the margin, give Annagh United a clear edge. This is strongly supported by their excellent recent form (unbeaten in five) and their 2nd-place standing compared to Warrenpoint's 7th. The head-to-head record is even, but Annagh United won both 2026 meetings. Therefore, Annagh United is more likely to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds from bookmakers show variation: one bookmaker prices a home win at 3.75, a draw at 2.30, and an away win at 2.50; another offers 3.60, 2.25, and 2.38; while a third has 3.35, 3.50, and 1.92. The shortest price for an Annagh United win is 1.92, confirming that bookmakers see them as the favorite. Based on the stats, an away win is the most likely outcome, but the draw odds are also short, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture.