Watanga - BEA Mountain prediction 22 October 2026
Watanga
BEA Mountain
FC FassellWatangaWatangaBEA MountainBEA MountainWatangaWatangaLPRC Oilers FCBEA MountainWatangaHeaven ElevenWatangaWatangaGardnersvilleFC FassellWatangaWatangaBorough FCWatangaBEA MountainWatangaFreeportBlackman WarriorsWatangaWatangaLiscr FCDowntown FCWatangaLPRC Oilers FCWatangaWatangaBEA MountainBEA MountainWatangaBEA MountainLiscr FCBEA MountainPaynesvilleBEA MountainWatangaDiscoveries SABEA MountainDiscoveries SABEA MountainBEA MountainBorough FCBEA MountainLiscr FCBEA MountainDowntown FCWatangaBEA MountainHeaven ElevenBEA MountainBEA MountainBlackman WarriorsLPRC Oilers FCBEA MountainDowntown FCBEA MountainWatangaBEA MountainBEA MountainWatangaBEA MountainWatangaWatangaBEA MountainWatangaBEA MountainBEA MountainWatangaBEA MountainWatangaBEA MountainWatangaWatangaBEA MountainBEA MountainWatangaWatangaBEA MountainWatangaBEA Mountain| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BEA Mountain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 |  Freeport | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 9 |
| 3 |  Paynesville | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | +5 | 7 |
| 4 |  FC Fassell | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 7 |
| 5 |  NPA Anchors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |  Discoveries SA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 6 |
| 7 |  LPRC Oilers FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 4 |
| 8 |  Heaven Eleven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Borough | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Wologisi FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Liscr FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Downtown FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 |  District 17 FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Watanga | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Golden Dream FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 |  Blackman Warriors | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 |  Gardnersville | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 |  Shaita | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 0 |
Watanga vs BEA Mountain Prediction (Oct 22)
The Watanga vs BEA Mountain prediction for October 22, 2026, sees two unbeaten teams clash in the Liberian First Division. Our analysis gives Watanga a 35% win probability, the draw a 38% chance, and BEA Mountain a 27% shot, making this a tightly balanced contest.
Team Form
Watanga come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings (W2 D3). They drew 2-2 away at BEA Mountain in a friendly on August 27, then beat LPRC Oilers FC 2-0 at home, drew 0-0 away at BEA Mountain again, drew 3-3 at Heaven Eleven in the league, and beat Gardnersville 3-1 at home. Their attack has been consistent, scoring in four of those five matches.
BEA Mountain are also on a five-match unbeaten streak (W3 D2). They drew 2-2 with Watanga, beat Liscr FC 3-1 and Paynesville 2-0 at home, drew 0-0 with Watanga, and thrashed Discoveries SA 4-1 away. With three wins in five, their form is slightly stronger.
Head-to-Head Record
Watanga hold a narrow edge in the overall head-to-head record with 4 wins to BEA Mountain's 3, and 4 draws. In recent meetings, the last two friendlies ended in draws (2-2 and 0-0), but before that Watanga won both First Division encounters: 4-2 at home in March 2026 and 2-1 at home in March 2024. Notably, Watanga have won every home league match against BEA Mountain in the available data.
League Table Positions
After one match each, BEA Mountain sit 2nd in the First Division with 3 points and a +2 goal difference, having won 2-0 at home. Watanga are 10th with 1 point after a 2-2 home draw. The season is young, but BEA Mountain's early win gives them a slight psychological edge.
Win Probability: Watanga or BEA Mountain?
We calculated the win probabilities by starting with the bookmakers' odds (normalized to remove the margin) and adjusting for form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. The base probabilities from odds were: Watanga 32.88%, Draw 41.02%, BEA Mountain 26.10%. After factoring in Watanga's perfect home league record against BEA Mountain and their solid home form, we raised Watanga's chances slightly. The final probabilities are:
- Watanga win: 35%
- Draw: 38%
- BEA Mountain win: 27%
While the draw remains the single most likely outcome, Watanga are the more probable winner if a team does take all three points. Their home advantage and historical dominance in this fixture give them the edge over BEA Mountain.
Odds & Match Prediction
The latest 1X2 odds are: Watanga 2.62, Draw 2.10, BEA Mountain 3.30. Bookmakers clearly see the draw as the favorite, pricing it at a low 2.10. Our Watanga vs BEA Mountain prediction aligns with this view: the stats point to a tight match likely to end level. However, Watanga's home strength and superior H2H record at this venue suggest they could snatch a win. Based on the stats, a 1-1 draw is a plausible scoreline, but a narrow Watanga victory cannot be ruled out.
Watanga vs BEA Mountain โ FAQ
- Who will win Watanga vs BEA Mountain?
- Based on our analysis, the draw is the most likely outcome at 38%, Watanga has a 35% chance, and BEA Mountain 27%. So while no team is a clear favorite, Watanga is slightly more likely to win than BEA Mountain.
- What is the win probability for Watanga?
- Watanga has a 35% win probability, making them the slight favorite over BEA Mountain. This is due to their home advantage and strong head-to-head record, having won both previous home league meetings.
- When is the Watanga vs BEA Mountain match?
- The match is on October 22, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is a First Division fixture in Liberia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current 1X2 odds are: Watanga win at 2.62, draw at 2.10, and BEA Mountain win at 3.30. The draw is the bookmakers' favorite outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between Watanga and BEA Mountain?
- In 11 previous meetings, Watanga has won 4, BEA Mountain 3, and 4 ended in draws. Watanga has won both home matches in the First Division, including a 4-2 victory in March 2026.