St Mochtas - Wayside Celtic prediction 17 September 2026

Our Wayside Celtic vs St Mochtas prediction for this Leinster Senior League clash on September 17, 2026 at 18:45 points to the hosts holding a clear edge. Based on the latest odds, team form, and a one-sided head-to-head history, St Mochtas have a 39% win probability, while Wayside Celtic arrive as 29% underdogs, with the draw at 32%. Read on for full betting tips, form analysis, and odds.

Team Form

St Mochtas come into this fixture in solid touch, unbeaten in their last five outings (W, D, W, D, W). That sequence includes a 3-1 away win at Bangor Celtic, a goalless draw at Malahide Utd, and a 3-3 home thriller against Kilbarrack United. They are finding the net regularly, scoring at least twice in four of those five games.

Wayside Celtic have been equally potent in attack, winning three of their last five (W, W, W, L, D). A 4-1 demolition of Crumlin United, a 6-1 rout of Glebe North, and a 5-2 victory over Montpelier Dublin highlight their firepower. A 4-3 defeat to Killester Donnycarney FC and a 3-3 draw at Inchicore are the only recent blemishes. Both teams arrive with confidence, but St Mochtas' defensive consistency gives them a slight edge.

Head-to-Head Record

The history between Wayside Celtic and St Mochtas is remarkably lopsided. Across 14 previous meetings, the home side has won 10 times, there have been 3 draws, and the travelling team has managed only a single victory. This pattern strongly supports the home team on the day.

In the most recent encounter on 11 August 2026, Wayside Celtic held St Mochtas to a 0-0 draw at home. Earlier in 2026, St Mochtas triumphed 4-3 away in the FAI Cup, and they also won 3-0 at Wayside Celtic in the league in April 2025. St Mochtas have won all three of the last head-to-head league meetings, underlining their superiority in this fixture, especially when playing at home.

Win Probability: Wayside Celtic or St Mochtas?

All match data points to a home‑side victory. The win probability breakdown is: St Mochtas 39%, draw 32%, Wayside Celtic 29%. This calculation uses the inverse of the average 1X2 odds (home 2.30, draw 2.75, away 3.10) normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted slightly for St Mochtas' unbeaten form and the dominant home trend in the head‑to‑head record (10 home wins in 14 games). Away success for Wayside Celtic remains a low-probability outcome based on every available stat.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced the full‑time result as follows: St Mochtas to win at 2.30, the draw at 2.75, and a Wayside Celtic away victory at 3.10. These odds reflect the home advantage and the strong H2H bias towards the home team. Considering the form of both sides and the fixture history, the smartest bet is on St Mochtas to win. A draw is a plausible alternative, but backing a Wayside Celtic upset would go against all the numbers. Final prediction: St Mochtas to collect three points.