Lech Poznan II - Wda Swiecie prediction 14 October 2026

Lech Poznan II vs Wda Swiecie prediction for the III Liga match on October 14, 2026. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Lech Poznan II are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while the draw stands at 35% and an away win for Wda Swiecie at just 20%.

Team Form

Lech Poznan II come into this match with mixed recent results: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They secured a 4-2 away victory at KKS Wlokniarz 1925 Kalisz on October 10, followed by a 0-0 draw at Elana Torun. Earlier, they beat Notec Czarnkow 2-1 at home and drew 1-1 at Unia Swarzedz, but suffered a 2-4 home defeat to Grom Nowy Staw. The team has shown attacking potential but defensive inconsistencies.

Wda Swiecie are in poor form, with three losses, one draw, and just one win in their last five matches. They lost 0-3 away to KTS-K Luzino on October 10, were thrashed 0-4 at home by Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska, and lost 1-2 at home to Kluczevia Stargard. Their only positive results were a 1-1 draw at KKS Wlokniarz and a 2-1 away win at Elana Torun. Defensive frailties have been evident, conceding 10 goals in those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these sides show a balanced overall record: Lech Poznan II have won twice, Wda Swiecie twice, and one draw. However, the most recent encounters heavily favor Lech Poznan II. They won 6-0 at home in September 2025 and 3-2 away in April 2026. The earlier matches include a 1-1 draw in March 2025 and two 2-1 away wins for Wda Swiecie back in October 2017. The trend suggests Lech Poznan II have the upper hand in current form.

League Table Positions

The available III Liga standings data does not include Lech Poznan II or Wda Swiecie in the top 12 positions, so a direct league position comparison cannot be made. This makes the head-to-head and recent form even more critical for this prediction.

Win Probability: Lech Poznan II or Wda Swiecie?

Lech Poznan II have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Wda Swiecie have a 20% chance. These probabilities are derived from the bookmaker odds (home win 2.20, draw 2.50, away win 4.00), which implied a home win probability of about 41%. We adjusted that upward based on Lech Poznan II's superior recent form and their two consecutive wins in the head-to-head series. Wda Swiecie's poor defensive record and lack of consistency further reduce their chances. The most likely outcome is a home victory, but a draw remains a significant possibility given Lech Poznan II's two draws in their last five.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds from the data are: Lech Poznan II win at 2.20, draw at 2.50, and Wda Swiecie win at 4.00. Bookmakers clearly see Lech Poznan II as the favorite. Based on the stats, the prediction is a home win for Lech Poznan II, but the value may lie in the draw market considering their recent stalemates. Wda Swiecie's away win odds are high for a reason—their form does not support an upset.