Widzew Lodz II - Weszlo prediction 11 October 2026

The Widzew Lodz II vs Weszlo prediction for the III Liga match on October 11, 2026, at 10:30 points to a clear away favorite. Based on our analysis of form, league table, and odds, Weszlo has a 55% chance of winning, while Widzew Lodz II holds just a 20% probability, with the draw at 25%.

Team Form

Widzew Lodz II are in dreadful shape, with their last five results reading D, L, L, L, L. They managed a 1-1 draw at Pelikan Lowicz on October 3, but suffered heavy defeats: 6-3 at Wigry Suwalki, a 2-1 home cup loss to Polonia Bytom, a 3-2 home loss to Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki, and a 2-0 home loss to Wisla Plock II. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 14 goals in those five outings.

Weszlo, by contrast, are flying high with a form line of L, D, W, W, W. After a 3-1 home loss to Olimpia Zambrow on October 3, they drew 1-1 at Polonia Lidzbark Warminski, then beat Olimpia Elblag 2-1 at home, won 1-0 at Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki, and defeated Zabkovia Zabki 2-0 at home. They have scored 7 goals in their last three wins and look confident.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Widzew Lodz II and Weszlo. This will be the first competitive clash between the two sides, so no historical edge exists for either team.

League Table Positions

Weszlo sit top of the III Liga table with 26 points from 11 matches (8 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), boasting a +14 goal difference (24 scored, 10 conceded). Widzew Lodz II are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses) and a +3 goal difference (21 scored, 18 conceded). The away form of Weszlo is particularly strong: they are 2nd in the away standings with 3 wins and 2 draws from 5 trips, remaining unbeaten on the road. Widzew Lodz II do not feature in the top 8 home standings, underlining their struggles at their own ground.

Win Probability: Widzew Lodz II or Weszlo?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Widzew Lodz II 20%, Draw 25%, Weszlo 55%. These figures are derived by taking the average bookmaker odds (home 2.88, draw 2.72, away 2.56), converting to implied probabilities, removing the margin, and then adjusting heavily for the stark contrast in recent form and league positions. The base odds suggested a relatively close contest, but Widzew Lodz II’s four defeats in five and Weszlo’s three consecutive wins, combined with a 12-point gap in the table, shift the balance decisively toward the away side. Weszlo’s unbeaten away record further supports the high probability of an away victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer average odds of 2.88 for a Widzew Lodz II home win, 2.72 for the draw, and 2.56 for a Weszlo away win. These odds indicate that the market sees Weszlo as a slight favorite, but our adjusted probabilities suggest the away win is even more likely than the raw odds imply. Based on the stats, Weszlo is the team most likely to win. A bet on the away victory could offer value given their dominant form and the hosts’ poor run.