Widzew Lodz - Wieczysta Krakow prediction 18 September 2026

The Widzew Lodz vs Wieczysta Krakow prediction for this Ekstraklasa match on Sep 18, 2026, points to a home victory. Based on our win probability analysis, Widzew Lodz has a 45% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 35% and Wieczysta Krakow has a 20% chance. The match kicks off at 16:00 at Widzew Lodz's stadium.

Team Form

Widzew Lodz come into this fixture with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches in all competitions show three draws and two defeats (D, D, L, L, D). In the Ekstraklasa, they drew 1-1 away at Legia Warszawa on Sep 13, followed by a 0-0 home draw against Radomiak Radom. A 0-1 home loss to Korona Kielce in the Cup and a 2-3 home defeat to Lech Poznan highlight their struggles at home. Most recently, they drew 3-3 at Slask Wroclaw. Widzew Lodz have not won in their last five outings.

Wieczysta Krakow's form is even more concerning. Their last five results read L, D, L, L, L. They suffered a 2-0 away loss at Pogon Szczecin, a 1-1 home draw with Zaglebie Lubin, a 3-1 Cup defeat at Avia Swidnik, and back-to-back away league losses: 2-0 at Wisla Krakow and 3-2 at Cracovia Krakow. The visitors have lost four of their last five matches and have been particularly poor on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these sides was a Friendly Clubs match on Feb 05, 2022. Widzew Lodz won that encounter 2-0 at home. While that was a friendly, it gives the hosts a psychological edge. The head-to-head record stands at 1 win for Widzew Lodz, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Wieczysta Krakow.

League Table Positions

In the Ekstraklasa overall standings, Widzew Lodz sit 11th with 8 points from 8 matches (1 win, 5 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 11. Wieczysta Krakow are not in the top 12 of the table, indicating they are lower in the rankings. The home side's league position, while modest, is superior to that of the visitors, who are struggling near the bottom.

Win Probability: Widzew Lodz or Wieczysta Krakow?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head, and league standings, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Widzew Lodz has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Wieczysta Krakow has a 20% chance. The bookmakers' odds implied a home win probability around 42%, but we have adjusted it upward slightly due to Wieczysta Krakow's dreadful away form (four consecutive away defeats) and Widzew Lodz's higher league position. However, Widzew's own home struggles and tendency to draw (5 draws in 8 league games) keep the draw probability high. The away win is the least likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Ekstraklasa clash range from 1.85 to 1.95 for a Widzew Lodz win, around 2.30 to 2.37 for the draw, and 3.40 to 3.60 for an away victory. Bookmakers clearly see Widzew Lodz as the favorite. Our Widzew Lodz vs Wieczysta Krakow prediction is a home win, but with a high chance of a draw. Based on the stats, a 1-0 or 2-1 victory for the hosts appears the most likely scoreline, though a low-scoring stalemate cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the home win offers value given the visitors' poor away record, but the draw is a safer option considering Widzew's many stalemates.