Willem II - Fortuna Sittard prediction 19 September 2026

The Eredivisie clash between Willem II and Fortuna Sittard on September 19, 2026, at 19:00 local time at Koning Willem II Stadion is expected to be a tight affair, but our Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard prediction gives the away side a 42% chance of victory. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Fortuna Sittard enters this match as the favorite.

Team Form

Willem II are struggling for form, having failed to win any of their last five matches (0W, 2D, 3L). They drew 1-1 away at AZ Alkmaar on Sep 11, then suffered a heavy 0-3 home loss to SBV Excelsior Rotterdam on Sep 5. Earlier, they drew 2-2 at home with Heerenveen and lost 1-4 at home to NEC Nijmegen and 1-4 away to Go Ahead Eagles. Defensive issues are evident, conceding 13 goals in these five games.

Fortuna Sittard, on the other hand, have won three of their last five outings (3W, 0D, 2L). Their most recent match was a 1-5 home defeat to Ajax on Sep 12, but prior to that they secured impressive away wins: 3-2 at ADO Den Haag and 3-2 at Groningen. They also beat Cambuur Leeuwarden 3-1 at home and lost 0-2 at home to AZ Alkmaar. Their away form is particularly strong, with two wins and a draw from three Eredivisie away games this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record between these sides shows 2 wins for Willem II, 8 draws, and 4 wins for Fortuna Sittard. In the last five meetings, Fortuna Sittard have dominated, winning three and drawing two. The most recent encounter on April 27, 2025, ended 1-0 to Fortuna Sittard. Before that, a 0-0 draw in October 2024, and two 1-0 wins for Fortuna in March 2022. Willem II last avoided defeat in this fixture back in October 2021 with a 1-1 draw.

League Table Positions

Fortuna Sittard sit 7th in the Eredivisie table with 10 points from 6 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). They have been especially effective on the road, ranking 6th in the away standings with 7 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). Willem II are not in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating a lower position. Their home form is poor: they are not among the top 8 home teams, and recent home results include a 0-3 loss to Excelsior and a 1-4 loss to NEC Nijmegen.

Win Probability: Willem II or Fortuna Sittard?

After analyzing the betting odds, recent performances, head-to-head statistics, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Willem II has a 28% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Fortuna Sittard has a 42% chance. The initial odds implied a close contest, but Fortuna Sittard's superior away form and Willem II's defensive struggles tilt the balance in favor of the visitors.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ average odds for this match are 2.54 for a Willem II win, 2.69 for a draw, and 2.67 for a Fortuna Sittard victory. These odds reflect a tight match, but the value may lie with the away side given their strong road record. Our Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard prediction is a Fortuna Sittard win, with a 42% probability. For betting tips, consider the away win or the draw no bet option on Fortuna Sittard.