Yate Town - Wimborne Town prediction 27 October 2026

Wimborne Town vs Yate Town prediction: this Southern League Premier Division match in England is set for Sep 29 at 19:30. Wimborne Town are the home side and narrow favourites with a calculated 45% win probability, while the draw is at 30% and Yate Town at 25%.

Team Form

Wimborne Town come into this game unbeaten in their last five matches. Their recent sequence is W, D, D, W, D. They have scored 6 goals and conceded only 2 in that spell, keeping three clean sheets. The results include a 3-1 FA Trophy win at Moneyfields, a 0-0 draw at Poole Town, a 1-1 FA Cup draw at Weston Super Mare, a 2-0 home win over Bracknell Town, and a 0-0 draw at Uxbridge.

Yate Town are in mixed form with D, D, W, L, L in their last five. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 9 across those matches. Their run includes a 1-1 FA Cup draw at Chippenham Town, a 0-0 FA Cup home draw with Chippenham Town, a 3-2 league win at Hanworth Villa, a 1-4 home loss to Taunton Town, and a 1-2 away loss at Poole Town.

Head-to-Head Record

The available head-to-head record shows four previous meetings: Wimborne Town have 2 wins, Yate Town have 1 win, and there has been 1 draw.

• Mar 7, 2026: Yate Town 1-1 Wimborne Town
• Oct 14, 2025: Wimborne Town 4-1 Yate Town
• Feb 17, 2024: Yate Town 0-2 Wimborne Town
• Mar 8, 2022: Wimborne Town 0-5 Yate Town

League Table Positions

Yate Town are 12th in the overall standings with 11 points from 7 matches, recording 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded. For context, league leaders Plymouth Parkway have 19 points. Wimborne Town are not present in the available standings data, so their exact position and the points gap cannot be calculated.

Wimborne Town vs Yate Town Prediction: Win Probability

The three bookmaker lines list Wimborne Town at 2.62, 2.62, and 2.02; the draw at 2.25, 2.25, and 3.35; and Yate Town at 3.40, 3.50, and 3.00. Removing the bookmaker margin and normalizing these odds gives baseline probabilities of roughly 38% for Wimborne Town, 35% for the draw, and 28% for Yate Town.

After adjusting for Wimborne Town’s unbeaten form, home advantage, and the 2-1 head-to-head edge, the win probability is: Wimborne Town 45%, draw 30%, and Yate Town 25%. Wimborne Town is therefore the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds vary across bookmakers: Wimborne Town are priced from 2.02 to 2.62, the draw from 2.25 to 3.35, and Yate Town from 3.00 to 3.50. The first two bookmaker lines make the draw the shortest price, while the third lists Wimborne Town as the favourite. Based on the stats, the match prediction is a Wimborne Town win. Yate Town’s recent draws and their 5-0 H2H win at Wimborne in 2022 suggest the draw is also a realistic outcome at 30%. For betting tips, Wimborne Town to win is the main angle, while a more cautious play could be Wimborne Town or draw given Yate Town’s two recent draws.