Wisla Krakow II - Jaroslaw prediction 10 October 2026

The Wisla Krakow II vs Jaroslaw prediction for October 10, 2026, sees this III Liga clash kicking off at 11:00. Based on available odds and recent form, Jaroslaw enters the match as the slight favorite, with a calculated win probability of 38%, compared to Wisla Krakow II's 34%.

Team Form

Wisla Krakow II are struggling for consistency, as reflected in their last five matches: L, D, D, L, L. Most recently, they suffered a 3-0 away defeat to MKS Zdroj Busko on October 4. Their previous home fixtures resulted in a 1-1 draw with Czarni Polaniec and a 0-1 loss to Kszo Ostrowiec, highlighting difficulties in securing wins.

Jaroslaw's form has been slightly more encouraging, with a record of L, D, W, L, W in their last five outings. They are coming off a 1-3 home loss to Naprzod Jedrzejow on October 3. Prior to that, they showed attacking prowess with a 5-2 victory over Pogon Sokol Lubaczow and a 6-2 thrashing of Korona Kielce II, demonstrating their potential on their day.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no prior head-to-head record available between Wisla Krakow II and Jaroslaw. This match marks their first recorded encounter, with both home wins, draw, and away wins standing at 0.

League Table Positions

Neither Wisla Krakow II nor Jaroslaw are currently listed in the available top 12 of the III Liga overall standings. The table is led by Weszlo with 26 points from 11 matches. As the league positions for both teams are missing from the provided data, no direct positional advantage can be assessed, placing added weight on recent form and odds for this match prediction.

Win Probability: Wisla Krakow II or Jaroslaw?

Based on a detailed analysis of the available data, the win probabilities are as follows: Wisla Krakow II has a 34% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Jaroslaw has a 38% chance of winning. These percentages were calculated by first normalizing the inverse of the bookmaker odds to remove the margin, then adjusting for team form. Jaroslaw's superior recent results, including two high-scoring wins, give them a slight edge, despite the lack of head-to-head history. The draw probability is significant, considering Wisla Krakow II's two recent stalemates and the balanced nature of the implied odds.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available pre-match odds from various bookmakers for the 1X2 market show a closely contested match. The best price for a Wisla Krakow II home win is 2.62, a draw pays 3.60, and a Jaroslaw away win is priced at 2.75. The draw odds of 2.40 from one bookmaker are notably low, indicating a market expectation of a tight match. Based on the stats and calculated win probabilities, Jaroslaw is more likely to secure the victory, though a draw represents a very plausible match outcome.