Witton Albion - Padiham prediction 6 October 2026

Witton Albion vs Padiham prediction for the Northern Division One clash on Oct 6, 2026, at 19:45. Based on the latest odds and team form, Witton Albion enters as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while Padiham has a 23% chance and the draw sits at 22%.

Team Form

Witton Albion’s last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss. They beat Congleton Town 3-1 at home on Sep 26, lost 7-0 away to South Shields in the FA Cup on Sep 19, then bounced back with a 2-0 home win over Lower Breck on Sep 15. A 1-1 home draw with Wythenshawe Town on Sep 8 and a 2-0 away win at Avro in the FA Cup on Sep 5 complete the run. The heavy defeat to South Shields stands out, but otherwise Witton Albion has been solid, scoring in four of those five games.

Padiham’s recent form is mixed: two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five. They won a thrilling 5-4 away match at Wythenshawe Town on Sep 29, lost 2-0 at Chasetown on Sep 22, suffered a 7-0 home defeat to Pontefract Collieries in the FA Trophy on Aug 29, then won 1-0 at Atherton Collieries on Aug 25 and drew 1-1 at Prescot Cables on Aug 11. Defensive issues are evident — they conceded 14 goals in those five outings.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Witton Albion and Padiham in the available data. This will be the first recorded head-to-head clash, making historical comparisons impossible.

League Table Positions

Witton Albion sits 10th in the Northern Division One table with 58 points from 41 matches (16 wins, 10 draws, 15 losses). They have scored 74 goals and conceded 66. Padiham is not listed in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating they are lower in the table. In away performance, Witton Albion ranks 8th with 29 points from 21 road games, but their home form is not among the top eight — a potential concern for this fixture.

Win Probability: Witton Albion or Padiham?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds to remove the margin, the implied probabilities are: Witton Albion win 55%, draw 22%, Padiham win 23%. These figures are adjusted slightly from the raw odds (home 1.62, draw 4.00, away 4.00) to account for the overround. Witton Albion’s stronger league position and more consistent recent form support the favorite tag, while Padiham’s defensive frailties and lower standing reduce their chances. Home advantage gives Witton Albion an extra edge, though their unremarkable home record tempers the probability slightly. Overall, Witton Albion is the most likely winner, but the draw and an away upset are not out of the question.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds are: Witton Albion 1.62, Draw 4.00, Padiham 4.00. Bookmakers clearly see the home side as the favorite. Based on the stats, Witton Albion should control the game, but Padiham’s ability to score on the road (as shown in the 5-4 win) means a low-scoring contest is not guaranteed. Our prediction leans toward a Witton Albion victory, but with a draw as a realistic second outcome.