Warrington Town - Workington prediction 6 October 2026

Our Warrington Town vs Workington prediction examines this Northern Premier League fixture set for October 6 at 19:45. Bookmakers make Warrington Town the home favourite, but the win probability analysis shows a fiercely balanced contest where any outcome is realistic.

Team Form

Warrington Town’s last five matches read L-D-L-W-W. They lost 2-0 away to Marine on October 3, drew 0-0 at home with Gainsborough Trinity on September 29, were beaten 4-1 at FC United of Manchester on September 12, then recovered with a 4-0 home win over Shildon in the FA Cup on September 8 and a 2-1 away victory at Leek Town on September 1.

Workington’s recent form is D-W-L-W-W. They drew 1-1 at home to Cleethorpes Town on October 3, won 3-1 away at AFC Emley on September 29, lost 5-1 at Bury in the FA Cup on September 19, beat Ilkeston Town 3-1 at home on September 12, and won 3-0 at Lancaster City on August 31. Workington enter the match with three wins from the last four league outings.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head between Warrington Town and Workington stands at 4 wins for Warrington Town, 5 draws, and 1 win for Workington. The most recent clash took place on April 18, 2026, in the Northern Premier League, when Workington secured a 3-2 away victory. That result ended a run of draws and Warrington Town dominance in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Workington sit 4th in the Northern Premier League with 20 points from 11 matches (6 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Warrington Town are 7th with 17 points from 9 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Although Warrington Town have games in hand, Workington’s higher points total and strong away record (3 wins from 5 away matches) make this a tight contest. Warrington Town’s home form has been less convincing – they are not among the top eight home sides in the league – while their away form ranks third.

Win Probability: Warrington Town or Workington?

Using the bookmakers’ average odds (home 2.46, draw 2.65, away 3.06) as a base and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are: Warrington Town win 35%, draw 33%, Workington win 32%. The draw holds significant value, reflecting the tight nature of this matchup. Workington’s better recent form and last H2H win narrow the gap, but Warrington Town’s home edge keeps them as marginal favourites.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers price a home win around 2.50–2.62, the draw at 2.25–2.60, and an away win at 3.10–3.20. Based on the stats, this is a meeting where the draw is a strong possibility, but Warrington Town’s need to close the gap on the top four could just tip the balance. Our Warrington Town vs Workington prediction leans towards a draw or a narrow home victory.