Workington - Whitby Town prediction 13 October 2026

This Workington vs Whitby Town prediction for the Northern Premier League match on Oct 13, 2026 at 19:45 gives Workington a 44% chance of winning, a draw 29%, and Whitby Town 27%. Bookmakers' odds and the league table both point to a home favourite, but recent form and a draw-heavy head-to-head record suggest a tight contest.

Team Form

Workington have managed just one win in their last five outings (W1 D2 L2). A 3-1 away victory at AFC Emley was the highlight, but heavy defeats against Quorn FC (3-0) and Bury (5-1 in the FA Cup) have dented confidence. Home league form is better – three wins, two draws, and only one loss in six matches – with 12 goals scored and nine conceded.

Whitby Town enter the match with a similar record over their last five (W1 D1 L3). A 3-1 win at Hyde is their only recent success, while losses to Gainsborough Trinity (6-2), Lancaster City (2-1), and Alfreton Town (4-1) have exposed defensive frailties. Their overall away results are mixed, but they have scored just seven goals and shipped 13 across those five fixtures.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these sides have been extremely balanced: one Workington win, three draws, and one Whitby Town victory. The most recent encounter ended 0-0 on Jan 10, 2026. Earlier results include a 1-2 away win for Whitby Town in August 2025 and a 1-3 away win for Workington in January 2025. With three draws in five matches, the head-to-head data strongly hints at another stalemate possibility.

League Table Positions

Workington sit 6th in the Northern Premier League standings with 21 points from 13 matches (six wins, three draws, four losses). They have scored 23 goals and conceded 22, placing them in the playoff conversation. Whitby Town are not inside the top 12 of the table according to the provided data, which indicates a lower position and a likely struggle to break down the home team.

Workington vs Whitby Town Prediction: Win Probability

Using odds from four bookmakers, we calculated the implied probabilities and normalized them to remove the margin. The average win probability before adjustments was 44.4% for Workington, 29.3% for the draw, and 26.3% for Whitby Town. Factoring in Workington's home form, their higher league ranking, and the historically draw-heavy head-to-head, we round these figures to:

• Workington win: 44%
• Draw: 29%
• Whitby Town win: 27%

This distribution reflects a match where the home side has a clear, but not overwhelming, advantage. The high draw percentage is directly supported by the three draws in five H2H meetings, and both teams' recent lack of clinical finishing reinforces the possibility of a deadlock.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for a Workington home win are as short as 1.75, while other bookmakers offer 2.20. The draw can be backed at up to 4.00, and an away win for Whitby Town ranges from 2.88 to 3.75. These prices confirm the market's expectation of a competitive fixture. Based on the statistics, Workington are the more probable winner, but the margin is narrow. Betting tips often point to the draw in such evenly matched contests, and under 2.5 goals might also attract interest given both sides' recent scoring struggles.