Wydad Casablanca - Moghreb Tetouan prediction 31 October 2026

The Wydad Casablanca vs Moghreb Tetouan prediction for October 31, 2026, points towards a comfortable home victory at the Stade Mohamed V in Morocco's Botola league. Based on bookmaker odds and historical dominance, Wydad Casablanca enters this fixture as the clear favorite. Our calculated win probability gives Wydad Casablanca a 60% chance of winning, the draw at 25%, and Moghreb Tetouan a 15% chance of pulling off an upset.

Team Form

Wydad Casablanca's recent form shows inconsistency with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches (W, D, D, W, L). Their most recent fixture was a 1-0 away victory against Union Touarga on October 24. At home, they have struggled for consistency, drawing 1-1 with US Amal Tiznit and 0-0 with CODM Meknes, before losing 1-3 to Wydad Sportif Temara. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 4 in their last five overall.

Moghreb Tetouan's form is notably poor, failing to secure a win in their last five outings (L, L, D, D, D). They suffered a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Wydad Sportif Temara on October 24 and a 1-4 away loss to Difaa El Jadida. The team has drawn three of these matches, including goalless stalemates against FUS de Rabat and RSB Berkane, suggesting a defensive setup that struggles to produce wins.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Wydad Casablanca. In their last 15 meetings across all competitions, Wydad Casablanca has won 8, Moghreb Tetouan has won just 1, and 6 matches have ended in draws. The most recent encounter saw Wydad Casablanca secure a 2-1 away win on January 4, 2025. Historical data shows Wydad Casablanca is unbeaten in the last five H2H clashes, including a dominant 4-2 home win in June 2021.

League Table Positions

Wydad Casablanca sits 3rd in the Botola overall standings with 8 points from 5 matches, having won 2, drawn 2, and lost 1. Their home form is not among the league's best, but their away record is formidable—2 wins from 2 matches, placing them 3rd in the away table. Moghreb Tetouan does not feature in the top 12 of the provided league table, indicating a lower position and a challenging start to the season.

Win Probability: Wydad Casablanca or Moghreb Tetouan?

The probability of each outcome has been calculated by analyzing bookmaker odds, team form, and the significant head-to-head advantage. The average inverse of the best available odds, normalized to remove the margin, heavily favors the home side. Wydad Casablanca has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Moghreb Tetouan sits at 15%. The home advantage at the 67,000-capacity Stade Mohamed V, coupled with a one-sided H2H record where Wydad has lost just once in 15 meetings, solidifies Wydad Casablanca as the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Wydad Casablanca as the strong favorite. The available 1X2 odds show home win prices ranging from 1.70 to 1.80, with draws priced between 2.25 and 2.45, and an away win for Moghreb Tetouan as high as 9.00 or 10.00. Based on the stats, head-to-head dominance, and the current form gap, the prediction is a home win for Wydad Casablanca. The match outcome is likely to be a low-scoring affair given both teams' recent goal trends, but the class difference should tell.