PSU Surat Thani City FC - Yala prediction 10 October 2026

Yala vs PSU Surat Thani City FC prediction for the League Cup match on Oct 7, 2026, at 13:00. This Yala vs PSU Surat Thani City FC prediction breaks down the latest form, head-to-head record, and odds. Based on the stats, Yala has a 34% chance of winning, the draw is at 36%, and PSU Surat Thani City FC has a 30% chance. This tight contest sees the draw as the most probable single outcome, but Yala's home advantage gives them a slight edge.

Team Form

Yala's last five matches (all away from home in Division 3):

• Sep 26: Ranong 1-2 Yala (W)
• Sep 19: Chumphon United 1-2 Yala (W)
• Mar 8: Phuket Andaman FC 2-2 Yala (D)
• Feb 15: Muang Trang United 0-1 Yala (W)
• Jan 17: PSU Surat Thani City FC 1-1 Yala (D)

Yala have been consistent, scoring in every game and avoiding defeat. Their away form is particularly impressive, which bodes well for this home fixture.

PSU Surat Thani City FC's last five matches (mix of home and away):

• Sep 27: PSU Surat Thani City FC 2-0 Nara United (W)
• Sep 20: Phuket Andaman FC 0-0 PSU Surat Thani City FC (D)
• Mar 15: PSU Surat Thani City FC 2-1 Phuket Andaman FC (W)
• Feb 21: PSU Surat Thani City FC 3-2 Satun United (W)
• Feb 14: Ranong 1-1 PSU Surat Thani City FC (D)

Like Yala, PSU Surat Thani City FC are unbeaten in five, with a strong defensive record, conceding only 4 goals. They have shown they can win at home and grind out draws away.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced. In their last four meetings (all in Division 3), Yala has won once, PSU Surat Thani City FC has won once, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent clash on Jan 17, 2026, finished 1-1. The four H2H matches averaged 1.5 goals per game, indicating low-scoring affairs. Notably, all four encounters were played at PSU Surat Thani City FC's home ground, so Yala's away record there is respectable. The history suggests another close game is likely.

Win Probability: Yala or PSU Surat Thani City FC?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following win probabilities: Yala win – 34%, Draw – 36%, PSU Surat Thani City FC win – 30%. The initial implied probabilities from the bookmakers' odds (after removing the overround) were 32.6% for a home win, 37.3% for a draw, and 30.1% for an away win. We then adjusted these figures based on the teams' identical form and Yala's home advantage, resulting in the final probabilities. The draw remains the most likely outcome, but Yala's chances are only marginally lower. Overall, this is a match where any result is possible, but the stats point to a stalemate or a narrow home win.

Yala vs PSU Surat Thani City FC Prediction & Odds

The average odds for this League Cup fixture are 2.78 for a Yala victory, 2.43 for the draw, and 3.00 for a PSU Surat Thani City FC win. These odds are derived from two bookmakers: one offered 3.00, 2.05, 3.25, and another 2.55, 2.80, 2.75. Bookmakers clearly see the draw as the most probable result, with Yala slightly favored over the visitors. Our Yala vs PSU Surat Thani City FC prediction is a low-scoring draw or a 1-0 win for Yala. Both teams are hard to beat, and with little to separate them, a cautious approach is expected. For betting tips, the draw looks the safest option, but Yala's home form could tilt the balance. The under 2.5 goals market may also be worth considering given the defensive records and H2H history.