Galata SK - Yalova Yesilovaspor prediction 16 September 2026

Our Galata SK vs Yalova Yesilovaspor prediction for this Cup match on Sep 16 at 12:00 assesses the win probability, with Galata SK holding a slight edge at 38%, the draw at 28%, and Yalova Yesilovaspor at 34%. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, but recent form gives the visitors a narrow advantage.

Team Form

Galata SK come into this match without a win in their last five outings, recording three draws and two defeats. Their most recent results are D, D, L, D, L. In their last match on Sep 12, they drew 1-1 away at Kucukcekmece Sinopspor. At home, they drew 0-0 with Pazarspor on Sep 06. Goals have been hard to come by, failing to score in three of those five games.

Yalova Yesilovaspor have one win and four losses in their last five matches, with a form line of W, L, L, L, L. They secured a 2-1 away victory at Beykoz Ishakli SF on Sep 12, but suffered a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Tokat Belediye Plevnespor on Sep 06. Defensive frailties are evident, conceding eight goals in their last four defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Galata SK and Yalova Yesilovaspor is tied at one win each, with no draws. Both previous meetings came in the 3 Lig. The most recent clash was on Jan 18, 2026, when Yalova Yesilovaspor won 1-0 away at Galata SK. Earlier, on Sep 13, 2025, Galata SK won 2-1 away at Yalova Yesilovaspor. The away team has won both encounters.

League Table Positions

No current league table data is available for these teams in the Cup competition. Both sides compete in the 3 Lig, but their exact positions and points are not provided in the source data.

Win Probability: Galata SK or Yalova Yesilovaspor?

Based on the available odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: Galata SK has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Yalova Yesilovaspor has a 34% chance. The probabilities are derived from the inverse of the best available odds (2.15 for Galata SK, 3.63 for the draw, 2.61 for Yalova Yesilovaspor), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted slightly to reflect Galata SK's home advantage and Yalova Yesilovaspor's marginally better recent form. This is a very close match to call, with Galata SK holding only a fractional edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest. The best available odds show Galata SK at 2.15, the draw at 3.63, and Yalova Yesilovaspor at 2.61. Other bookmakers offer a range, with Galata SK as short as 2.15 and as long as 2.54, while Yalova Yesilovaspor range from 2.61 to 3.75. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for the home side, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Galata SK's three draws in five games. Our prediction: Galata SK to win, but with low confidence due to the balanced head-to-head and inconsistent form of both teams.