Yangpyeong - Ulsan Citizen prediction 9 October 2026

The Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen prediction for October 9, 2026, points to an away win for Ulsan Citizen, who enter this K-League 3 clash as the clear favorite with a 50% chance of victory. Yangpyeong, despite home advantage, are given just a 20% win probability, while the draw sits at 30%.

Team Form

Yangpyeong are in dreadful form, having lost four of their last five matches and drawn the other. They were beaten 2-1 at Changwon City, 2-0 at home by Pocheon, 3-1 at home by Siheung Citizen, and 2-1 at Daejeon Korail, before a 3-3 home draw with Gyeongju KHNP. That run has yielded just one point and 11 goals conceded.

Ulsan Citizen’s recent results are far stronger: three wins and two defeats in their last five. They lost 2-1 at home to Siheung Citizen, won 1-0 at Daejeon Korail, lost 2-1 at home to Gyeongju KHNP, beat Busan Transportation 2-1 at home, and won 1-0 at Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors Reserves. Nine points from that spell underlines their superior momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only twice, with Yangpyeong unbeaten (1 win, 1 draw). Yangpyeong won 2-0 at home in June 2025, and the most recent meeting in May 2026 ended 0-0 at Ulsan Citizen. The small sample size gives Yangpyeong a psychological edge, but current form suggests that historical advantage may count for little.

League Table Positions

Both teams compete in K-League 3. Ulsan Citizen sit top of the standings with 28 points from 23 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 11 losses), while Yangpyeong are second with 17 points (3 wins, 8 draws, 12 losses). Yangpyeong’s home record is poor: 3 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses in 10 games. Ulsan Citizen’s away form is respectable: 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses from 10 trips.

Win Probability: Yangpyeong or Ulsan Citizen?

Based on all available data, the win probabilities are: Yangpyeong 20%, Draw 30%, Ulsan Citizen 50%. Ulsan Citizen’s far better recent form, higher league position, and solid away record make them the likeliest winners. Yangpyeong’s home struggles (six defeats in ten) and four-match losing streak heavily weigh against them, despite their unbeaten H2H record. The draw holds a significant chance given the last meeting ended goalless and Yangpyeong’s tendency to share the points away from home.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this fixture. Based on the stats, Ulsan Citizen are expected to edge a tight contest. A low-scoring away win is the most probable outcome, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the head-to-head history. Our Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen prediction is an Ulsan Citizen victory, with under 2.5 total goals likely.