Claypole - Yupanqui prediction 21 September 2026

Our Claypole vs Yupanqui prediction for September 21, 2026, in the Primera C Metropolitana sees the home side as the likely winner. Claypole have a 40% chance of winning, the draw sits at 30%, and Yupanqui have a 30% chance based on form, head-to-head trends, and bookmaker odds. The match kicks off at 18:00 at Claypole's ground.

Team Form

Claypole's last five home matches in the Primera C Metropolitana show a mixed return: two wins, two losses and one draw. They beat Sacachispas 2-0 and Club Mercedes 1-0, drew 0-0 with CA Fenix Pilar, and suffered defeats against Central Ballester (0-1) and away at El Porvenir (2-4). That gives them a recent home sequence of W-L-L-D-W, indicating some scoring difficulties but an ability to grind out results.

Yupanqui arrive with no wins in their last five outings across all venues (D-L-L-L-D). Away from home, they drew 1-1 at Estrella del Sur and 2-2 at Puerto Nuevo, and lost 2-0 at Central Ballester. They also lost 0-1 at home to Leones de Rosario and 0-2 at home to CA Atlas. That poor spell leaves them searching for confidence, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met four times in recent seasons, with Claypole winning three and Yupanqui one – there have been no draws. The most recent encounter, on May 22, 2026, ended in a 4-0 home win for Yupanqui. Prior to that, Claypole won 3-0 at home in June 2023, 3-2 away in February 2023, and 1-0 away in September 2019. The head-to-head record suggests one team usually comes out on top, with Claypole holding a clear overall edge.

League Table Positions

The available Primera C Metropolitana standings do not feature Claypole or Yupanqui in the top 12 overall, the top 8 home table or top 8 away table. That indicates both clubs are positioned in the lower half of the league, making this a tight contest between two sides likely fighting for mid-table safety. No points or explicit rank data is provided for either team in the supplied tables.

Win Probability: Claypole or Yupanqui?

Based on the available data we calculate the win probability as: Claypole – 40%, draw – 30%, Yupanqui – 30%. This estimate uses the bookmaker odds as a starting point (implied draw probability of around 46%), then adjusts for the head-to-head record – which contains no draws in four matches – and the teams' recent form. Claypole's home advantage nudges their chance higher, but Yupanqui's 4-0 win in the last meeting keeps their threat alive. The draw, despite being the market's favourite, is downgraded because every previous meeting produced a winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match 1X2 odds from bookmakers show home win prices between 2.75 and 2.88, the draw between 1.88 and 1.98, and away win between 3.75 and 4.15. Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, with the home win next and an away win considered unlikely. However, when the historical H2H pattern and Claypole's home form are weighed, a home win offers better value. Our match prediction is Claypole to win, but a cautious approach is sensible – the low-scoring nature of both teams' recent games suggests a tight affair, possibly settled by a single goal.