Estrella del Sur - Yupanqui prediction 12 September 2026

The Estrella del Sur vs Yupanqui prediction for this Primera C Metropolitana fixture on Sep 12 at 18:00 points towards a home advantage. Based on the available stats, Estrella del Sur has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Yupanqui has an 18% chance.

Team Form

Estrella del Sur's recent form shows inconsistency with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches (W, W, L, D, L). In their most recent outing, they suffered a 2-0 away defeat against Berazategui on Sep 06. At home, they have been more resilient, drawing 1-1 with Victoriano Arenas on Aug 30 and beating Justo Jose Urquiza 1-0 on Aug 08.

Yupanqui is struggling significantly, managing just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (W, D, L, L, L). They are on a poor run, losing 1-0 at home to Leones de Rosario on Sep 04 and 2-0 away to Central Ballester on Aug 30. Their only bright spot was a 3-0 away win against El Porvenir on Aug 08.

Head-to-Head Record

Estrella del Sur holds the edge in this fixture. In the last three meetings, they have one win and two draws, with Yupanqui yet to secure a victory. The most recent clash on May 16 ended in a 0-0 draw at Yupanqui. Prior to that, Estrella del Sur won 1-0 at home on Jun 28, 2025, while the match on Mar 15, 2025, also finished goalless.

League Table Positions

Estrella del Sur sits 10th in the overall Primera C Metropolitana standings with 39 points from 27 matches (10 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses). They have scored 27 goals and conceded 26. Their home form is a major strength, ranking 4th in the home table with 23 points from 13 games and a solid defensive record of just 8 goals conceded at home.

Yupanqui is not visible in the top 12 of the provided overall, home, or away standings, indicating they are positioned lower in the league table. This further highlights the gap between the two sides.

Win Probability: Estrella del Sur or Yupanqui?

Based on the data, the win probability is calculated as follows: Estrella del Sur has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Yupanqui has an 18% chance. This estimation is derived from the inverse of standard odds implied by the stats, adjusted for Estrella del Sur's strong home form (4th in home standings), Yupanqui's poor recent run (three losses in five), and the head-to-head record where Estrella del Sur is unbeaten in three matches. Home advantage is a decisive factor here.

Odds & Match Prediction

Specific 1X2 odds are not provided in the data, but bookmakers would likely see Estrella del Sur as the clear favorite. Considering the home team's defensive solidity and Yupanqui's scoring struggles, a low-scoring home win is the most probable match outcome. Based on the stats, the prediction is a victory for Estrella del Sur.