LKS Lodz II - Zabkovia Zabki prediction 14 October 2026

The Zabkovia Zabki vs LKS Lodz II prediction for the Oct 14, 2026 match in Poland's III Liga points to a very evenly balanced contest. According to our win probability model, LKS Lodz II have a 35% chance of winning at home, a draw sits at 35%, and Ząbkovia Ząbki have a 30% chance. The match kicks off at 17:00 and is likely to be decided by small margins.

Team Form

LKS Lodz II come into this match with excellent recent form, winning four and drawing one of their last five outings. In those away matches they scored freely: a 7–2 win against Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki, a 1–1 draw at Troszyn, a 3–2 win at Jagiellonia Bialystok II, a 2–2 draw at Wisla Plock II, and a 2–0 win at Mlawianka Mlawa. They have been strong on the road, but this will be a home game – and their home record this season shows only one win from three matches (1–0–2).

Ząbkovia Ząbki's last five results read D, L, W, W, L. They drew 2–2 at home with Jagiellonia Bialystok II, lost 3–4 at home to Mlawianka Mlawa, won 2–0 away at LKS Lomza, won 4–2 at home against Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki, and lost 0–2 away at Weszlo. Their away form stands at two wins and three defeats in five trips, making them somewhat unpredictable.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous meeting between Ząbkovia Ząbki and LKS Lodz II. The head-to-head record is 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins. This match will be their first ever encounter.

League Table Positions

In the III Liga overall standings, Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 7th with 17 points from 11 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses). LKS Lodz II are 12th with 14 points from 11 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses). Ząbkovia Ząbki have a three-point advantage. At home, LKS Lodz II have played only three games, collecting a single win and two defeats, while Ząbkovia Ząbki on the road have two wins and three losses from five away fixtures.

Win Probability: LKS Lodz II or Ząbkovia Ząbki?

After analyzing the available odds, recent form, league positions, and home/away factors, we calculate the match outcome probabilities as: LKS Lodz II win – 35%, Draw – 35%, Ząbkovia Ząbki win – 30%. The base probabilities from bookmaker odds (average implied) were around 33% home win, 36% draw, and 31% away win. LKS Lodz II's superb recent run of four wins in five games – all away – gives them a slight boost, but their poor home league record and Ząbkovia’s respectable away form keep the margins extremely narrow. The draw remains the single most likely outcome according to the numbers.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced this as a wide-open contest. Available 1X2 odds include: home win at 2.78 and 2.60, the draw at 2.40 and 2.60, and an away win at 2.82 and 3.00. The draw is the shortest price in one book and co-favorite in another, underlining the lack of a clear favorite. Our Ząbkovia Ząbki vs LKS Lodz II prediction is that this match will likely end all square or be decided by a single goal. Based on the stats, the best bet may be on the draw, with a cautious nod to LKS Lodz II’s momentum. A low-scoring game is not guaranteed – both teams have been involved in high-scoring affairs recently – but the tight probabilities suggest avoiding a straight win bet.