| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.50 | 1.22 | 6.50 | |
| 6.25 | 1.26 | 5.75 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 27 | |
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:8 | +14 | 26 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | +8 | 24 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 28:22 | +6 | 23 | |
| 6 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 22 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | |
| 10 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | |
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 15 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:25 | -11 | 13 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 11 | |
| 15 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7:21 | -14 | 9 | |
| 16 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:25 | -16 | 9 |
The HNK Sloga Mravince vs Zadar prediction for October 28, 2026, sees Zadar as the favorite to win this Treca HNL encounter with a 42% probability. The match kicks off at 13:00, and based on head-to-head dominance and superior recent form, the away side holds a clear edge over a struggling HNK Sloga Mravince outfit.
HNK Sloga Mravince enter this match in poor shape. Their last five results show three losses and two draws (L, L, L, D, D). They suffered a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Hajduk Split II on October 17, lost 1-3 at NK Vodice on September 26, and fell 0-1 at Jadran Kastel Sucurac in early May. Two draws against GOSK Kastela (0-0) and NK HV Posedarje (3-3) did little to boost confidence.
Zadar, by contrast, have won three of their last five (W, W, L, L, W). They thrashed Neretvanac Opuzen 4-0 away on October 18, beat Omis 3-0 at home on October 4, and demolished Neretvanac Opuzen 5-1 at home in late May. The two defeats came away at Kustosija (1-3) in the Cup and at Zagora (0-1) in a friendly.
This fixture has a very short history: the teams have met just once previously, on March 10, 2024. In that Treca HNL clash, Zadar won 4-0 away at HNK Sloga Mravince. The head-to-head record reads 0 wins for HNK Sloga Mravince, 0 draws, and 1 win for Zadar.
Neither HNK Sloga Mravince nor Zadar appear in the supplied Treca HNL standings. The table is led by NK Pazinka and Buje, both on 27 points. Without their placement data, we rely entirely on form and H2H to assess team strength.
HNK Sloga Mravince has a 28% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Zadar has a 42% chance. The calculation is based on the available odds, which imply a tight contest, but Zadar's far better recent form and the crushing 4-0 win in the only previous meeting tilt the probabilities clearly in their favor. HNK Sloga Mravince's five-match winless run heavily reduces their chances.
Bookmakers offer varying 1X2 odds for this fixture. The available odds show home win prices of 2.70, 2.80, and 2.75; draws at 2.37, 2.30, and 3.50; and away wins for Zadar at 3.00, 2.90, and 2.15. The market sees this as an open game, but our analysis, accounting for form and head-to-head, points to an away victory. Based on the stats, Zadar is the most likely winner.