Zaglebie Lubin II - Carina Gubin prediction 18 September 2026

This Zaglebie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin prediction covers the III Liga match on Sep 18 at 10:00. Zaglebie Lubin II enter the game as strong favorites, with a 55% win probability according to our analysis, while Carina Gubin face an uphill battle.

Team Form

Zaglebie Lubin II (Last 5: D-W-W-W-W)

Zaglebie Lubin II are flying high with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. Their recent results:

• Sep 12: Energetyk ROW Rybnik 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin II (D)
• Sep 05: Zaglebie Lubin II 1-0 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora (W)
• Aug 29: Warta Gorzow Wielkopolski 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin II (W)
• Aug 22: Zaglebie Lubin II 3-2 Miedz II Legnica (W)
• Aug 19: Kluczbork 1-3 Zaglebie Lubin II (W)

They have scored 11 goals and conceded only 5, showing a strong attack and a solid defense.

Carina Gubin (Last 5: D-L-L-L-L)

Carina Gubin are in a deep crisis, with just one draw and four defeats. Their recent results:

• Sep 11: Carina Gubin 1-1 Odra Bytom Odrzanski (D)
• Sep 06: Gornik Polkowice 2-1 Carina Gubin (L)
• Aug 28: Carina Gubin 0-1 LKS Barycz Sulow (L)
• Aug 22: Carina Gubin 0-4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec (L)
• Aug 19: Energetyk ROW Rybnik 4-0 Carina Gubin (L)

They have scored only 2 goals and conceded 12, underlining their struggles at both ends of the pitch.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these sides are evenly split: one win each and one draw. The most recent competitive clash was in the III Liga on May 12, 2026, when Carina Gubin surprisingly won 4-1 away. However, Zaglebie Lubin II won a friendly 4-1 in January 2026, and the teams drew 2-2 in a friendly in July 2025. Overall, the head-to-head record offers no clear advantage, but current form heavily favors the home side.

League Table Positions

The available league table data only shows the top 12 teams in the III Liga. Neither Zaglebie Lubin II nor Carina Gubin appear in that list, indicating they are positioned lower in the standings. Exact positions and points are not provided, so a direct comparison is not possible.

Win Probability: Zaglebie Lubin II or Carina Gubin?

Based on the odds, form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin II 55%, draw 25%, Carina Gubin 20%. The odds implied a home win chance of around 53% after removing the bookmaker margin, but Zaglebie's dominant recent form (4W,1D) and Carina's poor run (1D,4L) justify an upward adjustment. Home advantage also plays a role. While the head-to-head is balanced, the current momentum makes Zaglebie Lubin II the clear favorite to win.

Odds & Zaglebie Lubin II vs Carina Gubin Prediction

Bookmakers' odds vary: one offers 1.91 for a home win, 2.60 for a draw, and 4.75 for an away win; another has 1.85, 2.58, 4.85; and a third lists 1.44, 4.50, 5.00. On average, Zaglebie Lubin II are priced around 1.73 to win. Our prediction is a home victory for Zaglebie Lubin II, given their superior form and the visitors' struggles.