Zaglebie Sosnowiec - Rakow Czestochowa II prediction 14 October 2026

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow Czestochowa II prediction for the III Liga match on October 14, 2026, at 17:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Zaglebie Sosnowiec is the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while Rakow Czestochowa II has a 20% chance, and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Zaglebie Sosnowiec comes into this match in excellent shape, having won four of their last five matches. Their recent results include a 1-0 home victory against Kluczbork on October 10, followed by three consecutive away wins: 1-0 at Odra Bytom Odrzanski, 2-1 at Gornik Polkowice, and 2-1 at Polonia Nysa. The only blemish was a 1-0 loss at LKS Barycz Sulow on September 5. Overall, Zaglebie has been consistent, especially in attack, scoring in four of those five games.

Rakow Czestochowa II's form is more mixed. In their last five outings, they recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat. Their most recent match was a 2-1 away loss to Miedz II Legnica on October 10. Before that, they beat Polonia Nysa 2-0 away, drew 1-1 at home with Bks Sparta Katowice, won 2-1 at Sleza Wroclaw, and drew 0-0 at home with LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj. The away side has shown resilience but lacks the same winning momentum as their hosts.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Zaglebie Sosnowiec and Rakow Czestochowa II. This will be the first meeting between the two sides, so no historical data can inform the prediction.

Win Probability: Zaglebie Sosnowiec or Rakow Czestochowa II?

Based on the available odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Zaglebie Sosnowiec win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Rakow Czestochowa II win: 20%

The odds from bookmakers imply a strong home favorite, with Zaglebie priced around 1.73. After normalizing the odds to remove the margin, the base probability for a home win is about 52%. We have adjusted this upward to 55% because of Zaglebie's superior recent form (four wins in five) and the fact they are playing at ArcelorMittal Park. Rakow Czestochowa II's away form is decent but not enough to overcome the favorite. The draw probability is set at 25%, reflecting the possibility that the visitors could hold on for a point, but the most likely outcome remains a home victory.

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Rakow Czestochowa II Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 1.73 for a home win, 2.62 for a draw, and 7.00 for an away win. These odds clearly indicate that bookmakers see Zaglebie Sosnowiec as the strong favorite. Considering the team's winning streak and home advantage, our prediction aligns with the betting market: Zaglebie Sosnowiec is the more likely winner. However, Rakow Czestochowa II has shown they can compete on the road, so a low-scoring game or a draw cannot be ruled out entirely. For betting tips, the home win offers value, but cautious bettors might consider the draw no bet market or under 2.5 goals given the visitors' occasional defensive solidity.