Zakho - Newroz SC prediction 9 October 2026

This Zakho vs Newroz SC prediction covers the Stars League match on Oct 9 at 16:00. Based on the odds, recent form and league table, this is a close Iraq Stars League fixture: Newroz SC arrive higher in the table, but Zakho are unbeaten at home and hold a narrow edge in the win market, while the draw is the most probable single outcome.

Zakho vs Newroz SC Prediction: Team Form

Zakho have not won any of their last five league matches. Their form reads L, D, D, L, D, with a 1-1 draw at Al Julan, a 0-0 home draw against Al Talaba, a 2-2 home draw with Diyala FC, a 1-0 defeat at Al Karma and a 4-0 loss at Al Zawraa.

Newroz SC are in clearly stronger form at D, W, W, W, D in their last five Stars League games. In that run they beat Al Julan 2-0 away, Al Mosul 3-0 at home and Al Nafit Maysan 2-0 away, while drawing 0-0 with Ghaz Al Shamal and 0-0 with Duhok.

For this Zakho vs Newroz SC prediction, the recent form gap is important: Newroz SC have been winning matches, whereas Zakho have been drawing or losing recently.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three head-to-head meetings in the Stars League are balanced: one Zakho win, one Newroz SC win and one draw.

• May 20, 2026: Newroz SC 2-1 Zakho
• Oct 4, 2025: Zakho 4-0 Newroz SC
• Apr 22, 2025: Newroz SC 0-0 Zakho

The home team has not lost any of those three encounters: Zakho won at home and Newroz SC won and drew at home. That gives Zakho some home advantage in this head-to-head trend.

League Table Positions

Newroz SC are 4th in the Stars League overall table with 15 points from 8 matches, having won 4, drawn 3 and lost 1, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Zakho are 12th with 9 points from 8 matches, with 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 11. That is a six-point gap between the teams.

Home and away splits change the picture. Zakho are unbeaten at home with 8 points from 4 home matches, 2 wins and 2 draws, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Newroz SC are the best away side in the division: 10 points from 5 away games, 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding only 1.

Win Probability: Zakho or Newroz SC?

After removing the bookmaker margin and normalizing the averaged 1X2 odds, the base probabilities are roughly 34% for Zakho, 39% for the draw and 27% for Newroz SC. We then adjust for Newroz SC's stronger away record and recent form, giving final probabilities: Zakho has a 33% chance of winning, the draw is at 37%, and Newroz SC has a 30% chance. The total is 100%.

The relatively high draw probability is supported by the odds: two of the three listed bookmakers price the draw at 1.95 and 2.05. Zakho's home record supports their chance, while Newroz SC's stronger away form keeps them close. Overall, the single most likely result is the draw, but if you are picking a winner, Zakho are slightly more likely than Newroz SC.

Odds & Zakho vs Newroz SC Prediction

The listed 1X2 odds for this match are 2.92 / 1.95 / 3.65, 2.90 / 2.05 / 3.40, and 2.20 / 3.20 / 2.90. The first two prices make the draw the shortest outcome, while the third set makes Zakho the home favorite.

Final Zakho vs Newroz SC prediction: based on the stats, the draw is the highest-probability outcome, but the home side has a small win-market edge. For betting tips, the draw and a cautious home-lean are the most logical angles from the available odds and team data.