Zamalek vs ZED FC Mars prediction for the League Cup clash on October 7, 2026. Our analysis gives Zamalek a 40% win probability, the draw at 25%, and ZED FC Mars a 35% chance. Despite bookmakers pricing the visitors as favorites, Zamalekโs flawless form makes them the value bet in this encounter.
Team Form
Zamalekโs Last 5 Matches
Zamalek are on a five-match winning streak across all competitions, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 2. Their recent results:
- Sep 16: Ghazl El Mahallah 0-1 Zamalek (Premier League)
- Sep 12: Zamalek 4-0 AS Port (CAF Champions League)
- Sep 8: Zamalek 2-0 Abu Qair Semad (Premier League)
- Sep 4: AS Port 1-2 Zamalek (CAF Champions League)
- Aug 31: Zamalek 2-1 Petrojet (Premier League)
This perfect run includes two clean sheets and dominant home performances, highlighting their defensive solidity and attacking efficiency.
ZED FC Marsโs Last 5 Matches
ZED FC Mars have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings. Their form has been slightly inconsistent:
- Sep 17: ZED FC Mars 2-1 El Qanah FC (Premier League)
- Sep 14: ZED FC Mars 2-1 El Qanah FC (Premier League)
- Sep 12: ASAS Djibouti Telecom 1-1 ZED FC Mars (CAF Confederation Cup)
- Sep 9: ENPPI 2-1 ZED FC Mars (Premier League)
- Sep 6: ZED FC Mars 4-0 ASAS Djibouti Telecom (CAF Confederation Cup)
While they have been strong at home, their away form shows a draw and a loss in the last two road trips, which could be a concern against an in-form Zamalek side.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met four times in recent years. ZED FC Mars hold a slight edge with 2 wins to Zamalekโs 1, along with 1 draw:
- Feb 24, 2026: ZED FC Mars 1-2 Zamalek (Premier League)
- Jan 11, 2026: Zamalek 0-1 ZED FC Mars (League Cup)
- Feb 27, 2025: Zamalek 1-1 ZED FC Mars (Premier League)
- Nov 3, 2023: Zamalek 1-2 ZED FC Mars (Premier League)
Notably, Zamalek won the most recent meeting away from home, breaking a three-match winless run against ZED FC Mars. This could signal a shift in momentum.
Win Probability: Zamalek or ZED FC Mars?
Based on the odds, bookmakers imply probabilities of 23.5% for a Zamalek win, 30.8% for a draw, and 45.8% for a ZED FC Mars victory. However, we adjust these figures to account for Zamalekโs five-match winning streak, home advantage, and the recent H2H result. Our calculated win probabilities are:
- Zamalek win: 40%
- Draw: 25%
- ZED FC Mars win: 35%
Zamalekโs perfect form and home pitch give them a slight edge, making them the more likely winner in our assessment.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have set the following 1X2 odds for this League Cup fixture:
- Zamalek win: 3.80 (some books as high as 5.17)
- Draw: 2.90 (up to 3.63)
- ZED FC Mars win: 1.95 (as low as 1.66)
The odds clearly favor ZED FC Mars, but the value lies with the home side given their current momentum. Our prediction: Zamalek double chance (1X) offers a smart betting angle. A low-scoring affair is expected, with under 2.5 goals also worth considering based on the tight H2H history.
Zamalek vs ZED FC Mars โ FAQ
- Who will win Zamalek vs ZED FC Mars?
- Zamalek has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and ZED FC Mars has a 35% chance. Based on these probabilities, Zamalek is slightly more likely to win, driven by their perfect five-match form and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Zamalek?
- Zamalekโs win probability is 40%. This is higher than the bookmakersโ implied odds of 23.5%, as we have adjusted for their excellent recent results and the home factor.
- When is the Zamalek vs ZED FC Mars match?
- The match is scheduled for October 7, 2026, at 18:00 local time. It is a League Cup fixture in Egypt.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for a Zamalek win are 3.80, a draw is 2.90, and a ZED FC Mars win is 1.95. Some bookmakers offer even longer odds on Zamalek, up to 5.17.
- What is the head-to-head record between Zamalek and ZED FC Mars?
- In their last four meetings, ZED FC Mars have won twice, Zamalek once, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent game, on February 24, 2026, saw Zamalek win 2-1 away.