Zimamoto SC - Mwembe Makumbi City prediction 11 September 2026

Our Zimamoto SC vs Mwembe Makumbi City prediction for the Zanzibar Premier League match on Sep 11, 2026, at 13:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the odds and recent form, Zimamoto SC has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Mwembe Makumbi City has a 25% chance. The bookmakers see the home side as the favorite, but the head-to-head record suggests the visitors can cause problems.

Team Form

Zimamoto SC's last five results: L, W, L, D, L. They have managed only one win in that stretch, a 1-0 away victory at New King on May 31, 2026. The other matches include a 2-1 loss at KVZ, a 2-1 home defeat to Mlandege, a 1-1 home draw with Uhamiaji, and a 3-1 loss at KVZ in the Mapinduzi Cup. The home side has struggled for consistency, especially in defence.

Mwembe Makumbi City's last five results: L, W, D, L, L. Their sole win came on May 26, 2026, a 3-1 away victory at Malindi FC. They also drew 1-1 at home with Polisi Tanzania FC. Losses include a 2-1 home defeat to Mafunzo, a 3-1 loss at KVZ, and a 2-1 home loss to JKU Jeshi Kujenga Uchumi in the Mapinduzi Cup. Both teams enter this match with similar poor form, making the outcome hard to predict.

Head-to-Head Record

The last two meetings between these sides both took place at Zimamoto SC's ground. In the most recent clash on Nov 29, 2025, Mwembe Makumbi City won 1-0. The earlier encounter on May 7, 2025, ended in a 3-3 draw. Overall, Zimamoto SC have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss at home against this opponent. The head-to-head data gives Mwembe Makumbi City a psychological edge, having avoided defeat in both visits.

Win Probability: Zimamoto SC or Mwembe Makumbi City?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Zimamoto SC 45%, draw 30%, Mwembe Makumbi City 25%. The odds (home 1.90, draw 3.10, away 3.80) imply a home win probability of around 47% after removing the bookmaker margin. However, the teams' recent form is nearly identical, and the head-to-head record shows Mwembe Makumbi City can get a result away. Therefore, we slightly lower the home win chance and raise the draw and away win probabilities. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win, but a draw is a strong possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds from bookmakers are: Zimamoto SC win at 1.90, draw at 3.10, and Mwembe Makumbi City win at 3.80. These odds reflect Zimamoto SC as the favorite, but the draw odds are relatively short, indicating uncertainty. Based on the stats, our prediction is a low-scoring match with a slight lean toward the home side. A 1-0 or 2-1 victory for Zimamoto SC is the most probable result, but a draw cannot be ruled out given the visitors' ability to frustrate the hosts in past meetings.