Aluminium Arak - Zob Ahan prediction 23 October 2026

The Aluminium Arak vs Zob Ahan prediction for the Pro League match on Oct 23 at 13:30 points towards a home win, with Aluminium Arak holding a 52% probability of victory. The head-to-head record and league standings strongly favor the hosts, who have never lost to Zob Ahan in their previous nine meetings.

Team Form

Aluminium Arak enter this match with mixed form — their last five results read L-L-D-D-W. They suffered consecutive away defeats at Sanat Naft Abadan (2-1) and Fajr Sepasi (2-1), drew 1-1 at home with Malavan, and played out a 0-0 draw against Esteghlal Tehran before beating Gol Gohar 2-0 on the road. The home side has scored in three of those five matches, while their lone clean sheet came in the goalless draw.

Zob Ahan have an identical recent record of L-L-D-L-W. They lost 2-1 at home to Chador Malu Yazd and 2-1 to Foolad Mobarakeh Sepahan, drew 1-1 at Nassaji Mazandaran, fell 2-0 at Persepolis, and then beat Paykan 1-0 at home. Defensive frailties are evident — Zob Ahan have conceded in four of their last five outings, including seven goals in that span.

Head-to-Head Record

The historical head-to-head record is one-sided: Aluminium Arak have 3 wins, Zob Ahan have 0 wins, and there have been 6 draws across nine meetings. In their most recent clash on Feb 7, Aluminium Arak secured a 1-0 home victory. The previous encounter saw Aluminium Arak win 1-0 away at Zob Ahan on Sep 26, 2025. A 2-0 home win on Mar 7, 2025, a 1-1 draw on Nov 2, 2023, and a 0-0 draw on Apr 24, 2023 underline the hosts' dominance. Zob Ahan have never beaten Aluminium Arak in a competitive fixture.

League Table Positions

Aluminium Arak sit 6th in the overall Pro League standings with 13 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 8. Their away form is particularly impressive — ranked 1st in the league's away table with 9 points from 5 road games (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Zob Ahan are not listed in the top 12 of the provided standings, suggesting a lower-table position with poorer results. The 13-point gap (or more) between the sides makes Aluminium Arak the clear favorites in the league context.

Win Probability: Aluminium Arak or Zob Ahan?

Based on the data, Aluminium Arak has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 31%, and Zob Ahan has a 17% chance. These probabilities were derived by analyzing the head-to-head record (3 home wins, 6 draws, 0 away wins), recent form, and league positions — especially Aluminium Arak's strong away ranking and Zob Ahan's absence from the top 12. Without odds in the JSON, the calculation relies on the historical pattern that shows Aluminium Arak never losing to Zob Ahan and the draw occurring in 6 of 9 meetings. The home advantage boosts Aluminium Arak's chances to just above 50%, while Zob Ahan's poor overall standing gives them the lowest probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds were available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, Aluminium Arak are the predicted winners. The head-to-head record of 3 wins and 0 losses against Zob Ahan, combined with their superior league position and top-ranked away form, makes a home victory the most likely outcome. The safe betting tip would be a home win or draw double chance, given the 6 draws in 9 head-to-head encounters. A low-scoring affair is probable — the last two meetings produced under 2.5 goals, and four of the nine all-time H2H matches had two or fewer total goals.