Madrid CFF Women - Athletic Bilbao Women prediction 3 October 2026

The Madrid CFF Women vs Athletic Bilbao Women prediction points to a tight contest in the Primera Division Women on Oct 3 at 17:00. Based on the latest form and league standings, Madrid CFF Women enters the match as a slight favorite with a 40% win probability, while Athletic Bilbao Women holds a 35% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Madrid CFF Women have been impressive recently, winning four of their last five matches. Their home form is perfect this season with three wins from three at Estadio Fernando Torres, scoring five goals and conceding just one. Their last five results read: W, L, W, W, W.

Athletic Bilbao Women also show strong form with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings (W, L, D, W, W). On the road, they have been solid, winning two of their last three away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced. In 23 previous meetings, both Madrid CFF Women and Athletic Bilbao Women have won 11 times each, with just one draw. The most recent clash on Mar 15 saw Athletic Bilbao Women secure a dominant 4-1 home victory. However, in the last match at Estadio Fernando Torres on Dec 13, Athletic Bilbao Women won 0-2.

League Table Positions

Madrid CFF Women sit 3rd in the Primera Division Women with 12 points from 5 matches, having won 4 and lost 1. Athletic Bilbao Women are close behind in 5th place with 10 points, recording 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Both teams have scored 9 goals, but Madrid CFF Women have conceded one more (7 vs 6). At home, Madrid CFF Women top the home standings with a perfect 9 points, while Athletic Bilbao Women are ranked 8th in the away table with 3 points from 2 away games.

Win Probability: Madrid CFF Women or Athletic Bilbao Women?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are calculated as follows: Madrid CFF Women has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Athletic Bilbao Women has a 35% chance. This assessment is based on Madrid CFF Women's perfect home record this season, their higher league position, and the balanced head-to-head history. Athletic Bilbao Women's recent away form and their victory in the last meeting at this venue add weight to their chances, making this a closely matched encounter.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data. Based on the stats, Madrid CFF Women are seen as the marginal favorite due to their flawless home form and higher position in the league table. However, the head-to-head record shows nothing to separate the sides historically. Our prediction leans towards a home win, but a draw or an away victory would not be surprising given the competitive balance between these two teams.