Augsburg - Bayern Munich prediction 10 October 2026
Augsburg
Bayern MunichAugsburg
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Mainz 05 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 |  SV Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 |  FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 |  Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 |
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction (Oct 10)
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich prediction for the Bundesliga match on Oct 10 at 14:30. Based on the latest stats and odds, Bayern Munich is the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while Augsburg has a 15% chance and the draw stands at 25%.
Team Form
Augsburg Recent Form
Augsburg's last five matches: D, L, D, W, W. They drew 2-2 with Hertha Berlin in a friendly, lost 2-3 to Werder Bremen, drew 2-2 with Bayer Leverkusen, won 4-1 against Eintracht Frankfurt, and beat Schalke 04 3-0. At home in the Bundesliga, they have 4 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 draw), scoring 5 and conceding 2.
Bayern Munich Recent Form
Bayern Munich's last five: W, W, W, D, W. They thrashed Union Berlin 7-0, won 2-1 at SV Elversberg, beat Bodo/Glimt 5-0 in the Champions League, drew 0-0 at Schalke 04, and won 4-1 at VfL Osnabruck in the DFB Pokal. Away from home in the league, they have 4 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw), scoring 2 and conceding 1.
Head-to-Head Record
In 28 meetings, Augsburg has 5 wins, 3 draws, and Bayern Munich has 20 wins. The last five Bundesliga encounters: Augsburg won 2-1 at Bayern in Jan 2026, Bayern won 3-2 at Augsburg in Aug 2025, Bayern won 3-1 at Augsburg in Apr 2025, Bayern won 3-0 at home in Nov 2024, and Bayern won 3-2 at Augsburg in Jan 2024. Augsburg's recent victory shows they can trouble Bayern, but the overall record heavily favors the visitors.
League Table Positions
Augsburg sits 4th in the Bundesliga with 7 points from 4 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 11 and conceding 6. Bayern Munich is 2nd with 10 points (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 14 and conceding only 2. At home, Augsburg is 7th with 4 points from 2 games; Bayern away is 3rd with 4 points from 2 games. The gap in quality is reflected in the standings and goal difference.
Win Probability: Augsburg or Bayern Munich?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Augsburg win 15%, draw 25%, Bayern Munich win 60%. The bookmakers' odds imply a similar distribution after removing the margin, but we have adjusted slightly for Augsburg's home advantage and recent improvement. Bayern's superior squad depth and consistent results make them the most likely winner, but Augsburg's home form and the recent H2H upset add some uncertainty.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds for the match (1X2 market) range from 6.25 to 11.50 for an Augsburg win, 3.40 to 9.00 for the draw, and 1.17 to 1.44 for a Bayern Munich victory. The best odds for a home win are 11.50, while the lowest for an away win is 1.17. These odds clearly indicate Bayern as the heavy favorite. Our prediction: based on the stats, Bayern Munich is expected to win, but the value might lie in the draw or Augsburg +1.5 handicap given the home team's resilience.
Augsburg vs Bayern Munich โ FAQ
- Who will win Augsburg vs Bayern Munich?
- Bayern Munich is the most likely winner with a 60% chance. Augsburg has a 15% probability, and the draw is at 25%. These percentages are based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head records.
- What is the win probability for Bayern Munich?
- Bayern Munich has a 60% win probability. This is derived from bookmaker odds (inverse of the average 1.44 odds, normalized) and adjusted for their strong form and historical dominance over Augsburg.
- When is the Augsburg vs Bayern Munich match?
- The match is on Oct 10, 2026, at 14:30 local time. It is a Bundesliga fixture and will be played at WWK Arena in Augsburg, Germany.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The 1X2 odds vary across bookmakers: Augsburg win is priced between 6.25 and 11.50, the draw between 3.40 and 9.00, and Bayern Munich win between 1.17 and 1.44. Bayern is the clear favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Augsburg and Bayern Munich?
- In 28 meetings, Augsburg has won 5 times, there have been 3 draws, and Bayern Munich has won 20. The last match in Jan 2026 saw Augsburg win 2-1 away, but Bayern has won four of the last five encounters.